"It will only be worse": journalists named Putin's actions after the defeat of the Russian Federation in Ukraine
The material says that the Kremlin head has several options for a quick solution, but they are all related to internal and geopolitical risks. Journalists write that Russian and Western military analysts agree that in terms of Moscow, Russian forces need to stabilize the front line urgently, stop Ukraine's promotion, regroup and, if they can, begin their own counter -offensive. However, analysts are not sure that the Russian army now has sufficient resources for this.
Director of the Polish company ROCAN CONSULTING Konrad Music, the Russian Federation has no "labor". "And I think it will only be worse because fewer men now want to join. If Moscow wants to add people, she needs to mobilize," he said. According to journalists, the mobilization reserve of the Russian Federation has about 2 million people. However, the Kremlin stated that national mobilization is not being discussed now.
The material says that such a step of Putin would be popular with nationalists, but to a lesser extent among Russian men in city centers, which, according to unofficial data, are less interested in joining the fight. Journalists write that mobilization to Russia is related to political risks to Putin. At least for the reason that Moscow will then have to admit that the war with Ukraine goes bad.
According to Andriy Kartunov, the heads of an analytical center close to the Russian Foreign Ministry, in big cities many people do not want to go to fight, and mobilization will not be popular. Journalists report that Putin hopes that the rapid increase in energy prices and the possible shortage of this winter will convince Europe to make a truce under Russia.
Some European diplomats believe that the recent success of Ukraine on the battlefield has undermined the desire of some Europeans to push Kyiv towards concessions. The publication writes that the Russian attack on the TPP-5, which left many Ukrainians without electricity for several hours, has caused admiration among Russian nationalists.
They began to demand that Moscow use winged missiles to fail all Ukrainian infrastructure, but this would cause an unpredictable reaction in the international community. Journalists recalled that Putin has recently complained that the agreement concluded through the United Nations and Turkey, which allows Ukraine to export grain and other foods through the Black Sea, unjust about the poorer countries and Russia.
This week, Putin should negotiate with the Turkish President Taiip Erdogan to discuss the revision of the agreement that provides such budget revenues with Ukraine. Journalists write that Russian propaganda will be able to "sell" the population of the Russian Federation of capture of part of the Zaporizhzhya and Kherson region as a victory, as it opened a land corridor for Moscow in 2014 in 2014.
However, it is reported that President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky of the Armed Forces will liberate the entire territory of the country to the borders of 1991. It is also reported that in addition to the mass victims, such a step can start a dangerous "spiral escalation" and formally involve the West's countries into a direct war with Russia.
Russia's nuclear doctrine allows for nuclear weapons if it or other types of mass destruction is applied against it or, if the Russian state faces a real threat from ordinary weapons. The former UK ambassador to Anthony Brenton said that he did not reject Putin's use of nuclear weapons if the war is very bad. Earlier, Focus wrote that the US Department of State stated that the Kremlin could use Azerbaijan and Armenia to distract from Ukraine.