NATO is preparing for war with the Russian Federation: the attack is possible by 2044 - military experts (infographics)
And now the North Atlantic Alliance is preparing for one of the largest and most serious military exercises, which will be attended by 90,000 servicemen from all over Europe. At the same time, US military forces are also going to proceed with military exercises that will, according to experts, the last attempt to demonstrate their military power to Russia's aggressor. "In 2024, Russia's expenditures for defense will rise to $ 140 billion - one third of the national budget.
These changes do not make sense if they are directed exclusively against the current enemy - Ukraine, the country whose population is one -third , - said The Daily Mail Brigade General retired Kevin Ryan. Admiral Rob Bauer, the head of the NATO Military Committee, called on governments and civilian populations to prepare for "enormous changes" in their lives, providing a large -scale armed conflict in the next 20 years.
Thus, the publication with the help of a team of experts - former military chiefs and security experts - explores how the Russian attack on Europe can unfold by 2044. In their view, Russia's possible steps are as follows. Cyberatians, emphasizes the publication, have become almost daily, and the technological capabilities of malefactors are growing in geometric progression.
"Cyberattacks have real combat use-the Russians used them in the prelude to invade Ukraine to disable Viasat communication network," said Rusi researcher and military analyst Sam Kenny-Evans. And the former US troops in Europe, General Ben Gogess, stressed that "Russians may well take steps to create a large -scale cybherrology of our infrastructure. " He recalled cyber -attacks at airports, seaports, logistics and supply chain.
And Krenni-Evans added that there is even a probability of a certain conflict in space, when satellites will be used to attack each other or to create obstacles to satellites-which has already been made at a lower level in Ukraine. He added that this does not mean that Russia will be limited to cybercriminals.
"Most likely, it will take a rigid rocket attack designed to harm key military facilities and infrastructure facilities in Eastern Europe and beyond, preparing the ground for troops deployment. goals throughout Europe, " - warned General Gogeges. That is why he emphasized the importance of the presence of adequate air defense throughout Europe. According to military experts, the Russian Federation will first try to seize the Subalka corridor and then attack the Baltic States or Poland.
General Hodges at the same time emphasized that Russia made conclusions from the mistakes made in Ukraine, and managed to replenish its military arsenal, to achieve technological achievements with the help of Iran and China. Generals say that despite the fact that thousands of NATO servicemen have been launched in the Baltic States, they are only designed as "stretching". Their role is to restrain any invasion for the arrival of NATO's main army, Goodges emphasizes.
After Putin has attacked the country on the Eastern NATO flank, Russia will wait to see how the military alliance reacts. "If we are hesitant, then failure to fulfill our obligations under Article 5 to protect the Member States . . . The Alliance will destroy. If we do not fulfill what we promised to do, it will be a stunning blow to NATO," the general said. And if NATO is really hesitant, Putin will not stop, General Gogeges predicts.
Further, Russia's naval fleet will try to control the Arctic and with the help of rockets of the North Atlantic. As the polar ice is melting because of climate change, new marine routes are becoming more accessible. "Russia will want to dominate this northern route, it will allow it to cross the top of the world much faster and bring economic benefits to Moscow. Goodges.
Military experts suggest that being behind the Polar Circle, the Russian Northern Navy can attack Scandinavian ports or cross the Arctic waters to attack the United Kingdom across the North Sea. In addition, Moscow can use submarines or submarines to cut vital sub -fiber optic cables, causing unprecedented damage and violation of Western infrastructure, logistics and communications against the background of escalation of future conflict.
According to General Gogess The Daily Mail, the war does not take place in a vacuum. Similarly, the Russian attack on the background of the deepening of the abyss between the East and the West will not take place without participating in the struggle of other great powers, which make up the so -called "resistance axis". According to experts, this axis is a geopolitical and military alliance to counteract threats from the West and regional rivals.
In recent years, according to many analysts, Russia has established closer relations with other states, each of which has its own deeply rooted claims to consider the Hegemonist world order, headed by the United States and their Western allies. Iran, for example, is a serious threat in the Middle East, possessing a formidable army and resources for the development of nuclear weapons - that, according to General Gogege, he probably happens in the coming years.
The Republic of Islamic also supports a small number of other well-armed groups throughout the region, including Hamas, Hezbolla and Yemen rebels, as well as forces in Iraq and Syria, which have organized drones on US base in recent weeks in recent weeks. Therefore, in the case of Russia's attack on NATO, it is likely that Iran can fight on the Kremlin's side. China, according to military experts, is another threat - though perhaps not directly for Europe.
Although China uses cheap energy imports from Russia and supports its broader goal to destabilize the international order headed by the event, it also depends high on trade with the West, especially with the United States. "I do not think that there is some love for Russia in China. China is not particularly interested in keeping Russia afloat. But they won't want any violations The conflict scenario, "said General Gogeges.
Regarding North Korea, its almost complete isolation from the world arena means that it is less likely to be drawn into a major conflict, and the threat of war is a tool used to support the dynasty. However, the regime has already agreed to provide Moscow ammunition for a continuing war in Ukraine at a time when the relations of the West with its historical allies - China and Russia - are in a new minimum.
The Kremlin's rhetoric on the Baltic States and other Eastern European countries is becoming more hostile after invasion of Ukraine, experts say. As Moscow's forces are already faced with fierce resistance in Ukraine, military analysts do not believe that the Kremlin will have enough strength to consolidate large groups of European countries into the Russian Federation in the event of a future conflict.
But Russia clearly and consistently condemned that it perceives as an extension of NATO and the desire of the Alliance to jeopardize the sphere of influence of the Kremlin. The victory of Moscow in Ukraine can lead to the overthrow of pro -Western governments, which voluntarily and democratically joined the European Union and NATO, replacing them with Russian puppets or parties that are more likely to support the Kremlin, thereby contributing to the collapse of the Alliance.
Therefore, according to experts, the key is restraint. This requires NATO and his Member States to have an armed forces, which are not only ready to repel any invasion of the Russian forces, but also strong enough to surpass Moscow's army so that the Kremlin did not want to start the attack at all.
"Reinstalling is at the same time having a military potential and your opponent's signal about your willingness to use this potential-and about your determination to bring the matter to the end," says Sam Krennie-Evans. And General Gogess added that the Russians will have to believe that NATO has the potential and is ready to use this potential to win them or to make it so painful for them that they will decide not to act. "The Russians only respect force.
If they feel some weakness, they will continue to move forward," the general said. At the same time, he stressed that the spread of hybrid war, destabilization of the gray zone and the return of the high intensity war on the European continent mean that the usual restraint should play a more important role in preventing such a war between Russia and NATO.
"This means that Europe and the whole event need to be invested in the future, and NATO's large -scale military exercises have been designed to demonstrate this ordinary potential and willingness to protect the Allies, and therefore to restrain further Russian aggression," he summed up. We remind that in January 2024 the media published a possible plan of attack of the Russian Federation on the Baltic States.