The new phase of war in Europe? As Wagner PEC threatens Poland and the Baltic countries
The military leadership in Kyiv at a rate meeting on June 20 announced the strengthening of the northern borders, and Warsaw strengthens the Eastern Front due to the "new situation" in Belarus. Polish Viceremier Yaroslav Kaczynski believes that about 8,000 mercenaries will be sent to Belarus, which creates a danger to Ukraine and Lithuania. This can cause a new phase of hybrid war, much more complicated than the current one.
Therefore, they decided to strengthen the defense on the eastern border, Kaczynski said. Increasing means an increase in strength and protective barriers. Warsaw orients security policy on the worst scenarios, he said. The head of the Ministry of Defense of Poland Mariusz Blaschak emphasized on the experience of the "Wagner" in battles: they are demoralized and thus dangerous because they do not follow any rules.
The question of the goals of stay of mercenaries Wagner PEC in Belarus also poses NATO's leadership. "Ukraine must provide parts that will further protect the border from the north. A feeling of a threat to NATO is created because of the concentration of mercenaries near the border of the eastern flank," said Polish President Andrzej Duda in a comment to Radio Zet. The soldiers who will remain in Wagner PEC will simply not be sent to Ukraine.
The structure should sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, said the chairman of the State Duma Committee on Defense Andriy Kartpolov. "She [company] must perform the tasks and provide the Ministry of Defense. We do not have the Makhno, we do not need Makhnovists," he commented. From this we can conclude that the "Wagnerians" will be released from Russia to Belarus without weapons.
Yevgeny Prigogine will no longer manage them, as it was in the Donbass, Libya, Syria or the king, considers the analytics interviewed. Military expert Mikhail Zhirokhov is convinced that there is no cause for concern in Poland and the Baltic countries. "It is unclear to the end of how many mercenaries will go to Belarus from Russia. At best, up to 5 thousand will be gained. Will Alexander Lukashenko give them weapons and ammunition? The question, "he emphasized.
The Belarusian dictator in the case of a team from the Russian Federation will give mercenaries the same weapons as Russia - tanks, RSZV and BMP, artillery and more, adds Zhirokhov. The Air Force Officer of the Armed Forces, military expert Andriy Kramarov notes that Lukashenko does not trust the Russian army. And to place a non -controlled PVC is a great risk. "Even if Belarus gives them military equipment, about 8 thousand is nothing compared to the Armed Forces posted on the border.
The battle will end without having time to start. In the Baltic countries in the Baltic States on the Military Turn of the US and Germany Army. Quickly for any schedule, ”the expert emphasizes. Provocation against Poland will play an evil joke with Belarus. The NATO contingent in Poland and the Baltic countries will quickly suppress Lukashenko's military ambitions.
American and German troops will fight with aviation and artillery, and will stop somewhere on the border with Russia, Kramarov summed up. In the Wagner PEC, they are typical mode, as if there was nothing, said the "Russian service" of the Air Force. Journalists called the company's hotlines in several cities. The correspondents have confirmed that the recruitment of "employees" is ongoing. "From Kaliningrad to Krasnodar, they still recruit people to go to fight in Ukraine.
And these are contracts with" Wagner "himself, not from the Ministry of Defense of Russia. Nothing has changed," the Air Force said in fighting centers and boxing clubs. The signs of large -scale movement of fighters to Belarus are not visible. Most of the Wagnerians are well armed, they are located on bases in eastern Ukraine, the BBC interlocutors say.