Prigogine has lost Putin's inclination and can become a Kremlin's goat-isw
Following the statements of the Chairman of the Wagner PEC on the mistakes of military leadership at the front, losses among his mercenaries began to be used to distract society from greater problems in the frontline. This is stated in the report of March 12, the Institute of War Study (ISW). The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation deliberately place the forces of the Wagner PEC in Bakhmut, because the military leadership aims to weaken Yevgeny Prigogine, the researchers believe.
It is reported that it has ambitions on the impact in the Kremlin. "The Russian military leadership perhaps allows the Wagner group to suffer significant losses in Bakhmut to blow Prigoine at the same time," the ISW said. Analysts suspect that the Russian military leadership is avenge for President Vladimir Putin.
The summary states that the PEC chairman suggested the leader of the aggressor country instead of the unpopular mobilization among the population of the Russian Federation to take the Ukrainian city by the Wagner forces. Disappointed in the army, after the unfulfilled promises to capture Kiev Putin supported Prigogine and provided the necessary resources, researchers report. However, according to the ISW report, Prigogine was campaign against the Ministry of Defense.
Public statements about military leadership mistakes, loss at the front and unsuccessful mobilization caused a wave of criticism in Putin's surroundings. "Prigogine overestimated Putin's dependence on Wagner's forces and tried to replace the Russian military and political leadership of PEC -related persons," the report reports. Analysts believe that Putin perceived criticism as a disloyalty, and Prigogine himself as a threat.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu pointed to his place by the PVC chairman with loud contacts with foreign colleagues, for which Prigogine has no power without an official position in the Kremlin. "Putin probably stopped the Russian Defense Ministry from a direct attack on Prigogine, but instead created the conditions under which the Russian military leadership could regain more power.
Such conditions were likely to threaten Prigogine, which began to strengthen their criticism of the Russian Defense Between the Wagner forces and the military leadership, "the researchers said. The military leadership has attributed the achievements of PEC under the control of Prigogine in Soledar and accused him publicly of manipulating the information space. Analysts are of the opinion that Putin's affection is not on the side of Prigogine, so he can have failures in Bakhmut.
The Kremlin can use the losses of Wagner PEC and military crimes to direct the reaction of society to minor problems of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. "Most of the Russian and Western Bakhmut coverage is already focused mainly on the heavy losses of Wagner, which allows the Ministry of Defense to hide or diminish other losses and the ill -treatment of forcibly mobilized military, " - explained at the Institute of War Study.
Researchers believe that Prigogine will not be able to restore Putin's affection, and the fate of the PVC head will depend on his ability to convince the Kremlin of his loyalty. Now the leader of the mercenaries has the reputation that he sent his fighters to fight as "cannon meat" - without weapons and ammunition. This campaign not only caused dissatisfaction with the leadership of Russia, but also repels of recruits.
"Currently, the Ministry of Defense of Russia provides priority for the elimination of Wagner in the battles in Bakhmut, which probably slows down the speed of promotion in the area. Aspirations. Putin used Wagner to protect his regime from the pernicious social consequences of mobilization, which also continues to inhibit his hostilities in Ukraine, "the report reads.
We will remind, today, March 13, the Ukrainian guerrilla movement "Atesh" conducted a successful operation in the occupied part of the Kherson region. The participants of the underground organization blew up the railway tracks between the settlements of Aprikosovka and Radensk. The National Resistance Center confirmed the statement of the guerrillas and thanked the residents of the captured territories for informing and hostile forces.