120 Missiles X-101 per month: how intense the closest attacks of the Russian Federation can be

Apparently, on August 26, the rocket firing initiated a new intensive cycle of Russian terror on August 26. Blogger Roman Shrik names the approximate terms of this cycle and the approximate number of missiles that the enemy can use. On August 26, a large combination of rocket launcher on Ukrainian infrastructure. Let's remember the cycles of Russian shelling. Usually they pass on the following principle: then repetition. The 1st period of attack was from October 10, 2022 to March 9, 2023 (5 months).

Then break 1 month and 3 weeks. The 2nd period-from April 28 to September 25, 2023 (5 months). Then a break of 2 months and 2 weeks. 3rd period-from December 8, 2023 to July 11, 2024 (7 months). Then break 1 month and 2 weeks. And today a new attack has started the 4th cycle. It is likely that you should expect 1. 5-2 months of attacks with a "double" number of rockets, and then a new transition to "how much they produced, so much and launched.

" Let me remind you that I count missiles, which are the basis of mass attacks: X-101 and "Caliber". It is possible to summarize the number of missiles used throughout the attack cycle, divide within the cycle and thus understand the level of production. According to my custom, during the 2nd cycle of shelling, an average of the Russian Federation produced about 60 rockets X-101 and 35 Caliber missiles.

During the 3rd cycle, an average of 61 X-101 missiles per month, and statistics on "calibers" broke out because they were rarely used and unevenly. On this basis, we can expect that in the next few months about 120 x-101 per month will be fired, and then they will switch to 60 missiles per month. The frequency of shelling is difficult to predict, since the concept of racists is constantly changing. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.