Coincidence 4 factors: why the Russian Federation was able to move in in Kharkiv region - WP

The Russian offensive was possible due to the coincidence of four factors, including long delay with the US and the adaptation of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to hostilities. In the war, you should always expect unexpected. Ukraine was preparing for a new offensive of the Russian Federation in the east of the country after the fall of Avdiivka. But in the meantime, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation was attacked in the north of the Kharkiv region.

National Security Columist Max Booth in The Washington Post column analyzed why the occupiers began to press from a new direction. The Russian offensive may continue in the east of Ukraine, but now the invaders have made an unexpected offensive in the Kharkiv region, says the analyst. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation came to almost 8 km of up to 5 battalions.

The potentially attack can be the fastest offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation since the beginning of hostilities. If the Russians continue the offensive, Kharkiv may again find themselves in the artillery area, as it was at the beginning of a full -scale war. According to the author, he saw the destruction of Kharkiv with his own eyes in March 2024. Scars are still noticeable in the city since the start of the fighting.

The worst scenario is Kharkiv, but this option is very unlikely. However, Ukraine has to transfer reinforcements from Donetsk region, which will potentially give the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to move in the region. The explanation of the actions of the Russian Federation lies in two factors: as an example of adaptation, Booth gives an example how some storms of the invaders occur on motorcycles to quickly move to Ukrainian borders without heavy equipment.

The Russian Federation also uses correction airbombs massively to destroy the defense lines of the Armed Forces. Ukraine, for its part, has weakened greatly due to prolonged delay with help from the United States. The Russian advantage in ammunition reached one up to ten. Stocks of anti -aircraft missiles have also declined. Because of this, the Russian Federation could gain local domination in the air.

Now assistance from the US has started to come, but it still takes time to properly provide Ukrainian defenders. This time uses the Russian Federation for its promotion. In addition, restrictions to apply US weapons against goals in Russia greatly make it impossible for Ukraine to beat Ukraine on the forces that are being prepared for the attack. The United Kingdom has already canceled this restriction, but the US is not.

And the last two arguments are delaying with mobilization in Ukraine and the late start of construction of engineering and forming structures at the front and near the border from the Russian Federation. "The good news is that Ukraine still has time to recover from these failures.