Plaque on the Russian Federation, Pokrovskaya crisis, views of autumn: the main military events of the week

Military analyst Ivan Kirichevsky summarizes last week. He brought both the difficulties associated with the Pokrovsky direction and new blows in Russia - very sensitive to it. The events of the passing week can be generalized as follows: the dichotomy "Kursk or Pokrovsk" is false in the plan that one should pay attention to all directions at the same time, not just those that are most often mentioned in the media.

Well, for example, against the background of Kursk operation, the racists intensified the shelling of civilian infrastructure of Sumy region. Although there is no prospect of direct loss of territories, there is a completely non -illusory prospect of losing organized life in these territories.

Although we are talking here about the region, it is generally important in terms of maintaining the Armed Forces communications at least in the same Kursk direction, well, about the region, which also ensures the transport of Kharkiv region with other parts of Ukraine.

And even here, even purely at the human level, the question arises: Okay, we do not have the means to counteract with hostile managed airbams and ballistic missiles; However, at least against the FPV-ovary that terrorizes the border of Sumy region, for example, Hlukhiv, you can find the means of counteraction, for example.

At the same time, the Kursk operation and other active actions that have taken the Defense forces of Ukraine over the last month, including a massive coating on Russian energy on September 1 this year, should be carried out at least in order to show itself - Ukraine is able to win what within the limits Clausewitz's doctrine is formulated as a "goal of war".

Regardless of the interpretation, whether in the original Clausewitz was referred to "the world is better than before the war", or did he really mean "the conditions for maintaining peace better than before the war. " When considering the causes of our crisis in the Pokrovsky direction, the ideological component should be distinguished there.

In the sense, Rashist politicians found something to say to their soldiers why they should go under Ukrainian machine guns, die under their fire, but so constantly create pressure on the Armed Forces. Especially in conditions where the army of the Russian Federation continues to outweigh the number of existing artillery barrels and the number of equipment.

Because on the other hand, it is difficult to say that now Russian troops on the battlefield show something fundamentally new in tactical terms. Instead, we have previous models of "ideological mobilization" are no longer used, but new ones have not been launched.

Actually, here is only an "ideological factor" and can explain why the rashist offensive has not yet affected the intense "cotton" in the Rostov region as an important Haby logistics for the troops of the Russian Army operating in the Donetsk region. If you think about the prospects of the campaign for autumn, then we need to make a correction here - we often stop at the forecasts that the Russians will have a shortage potential "(not mine).

But in such cases, we all make a standard mistake and do not even try to step forward and calculate how Russians can solve the problem of lack of a resource. Therefore, for us, it was unpleasant surprises that, despite its expectations, the Russian Federation was able to increase the pace of production of long -range missiles, or that its financial system did not fall on intense external influence.

At the same time, it is somehow to give out the forecasts in advance how much in the negative way events can develop in the Pokrovsky direction. In current conditions, it can come out as a demoralization of our soldiers who hold back the pressure of the enemy there. Particular attention should be paid to the following news-"1st and 2nd Army Corps" have now become the 51st and 3rd general military armies of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.