Will be able to beat "Cavuniy" by Kharkov: an expert on the main danger of approaching the occupiers to the city (video)
Most likely, the occupiers want to capture several tens of kilometers of Kharkiv region, then go to Sumy region, and then use this trump card with Ukraine. This was stated in an interview with Focus by a military expert and former SBU employee Ivan Stupak. According to him, by the end of the week, the Russian army will try to move massively in the direction of Kharkiv trying to capture as much territory as possible.
If they still meet the massive resistance that Ukrainians expect, they will be forced to stop. They will not be repelled, but will be frozen in the land in the Ukrainian territory in the north of the Kharkiv region. "After that, they may throw some of the forces into Sumy region for the same purpose," Stupak notes.
"They will try to capture 5, 10 or 20 km deep as far Crimea, Donetsk region, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions remained, and they will leave the territories of Kharkiv and Sumy region from the Bar shoulder. The most dangerous for Kharkiv will be the situation if the occupiers manage to approach the city at a distance of 15-20 km, the expert says. Then they can use their barrel artillery and cheap bollets, the so -called "cast iron", to beat on the metropolis.
According to Stupak, the Russian Federation annually produces such cheap shells near 3 million pieces, which is much more than EU countries combined. "Thus, occupiers can simply turn Kharkiv into a deserted Martian surface," Stupak notes. "The goal is simple: to make people evacuate, to close business, to become displaced persons so that these people criticize power, press on it for negotiations and create unnecessary load I do not want to scare the Kharkiv residents, but there is such a threat.
" However, the expert doubts that the Russian Federation will resort to mass mobilization after Putin's inauguration. They will partially throw the forces back and forth, creating cells of gray zones. This will not lead to global changes on the front. "Economists have long told Putin that massive mobilization would critically affect the economy , because the contractors are already offered almost $ 10 thousand one -time payment and $ 2,000 a month.
The situation with the onset of other sections of the front is associated with "smearing", which can not lead to serious results. In his opinion, the invaders are strongly beaten only where they can collect a large number of shock forces, as is the case on a time ravine, for example. We will remind, the head of GUR Kirill Budanov stated that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can start an offensive in Sumy region.