Prepare for storms: the expert predicted when the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will start a new offensive
According to Kovalenko, in order to carry out a new offensive of Russia it is necessary to compensate for the losses that it suffered over the past year, as well as from the beginning of the current, within the offensive operation in Donetsk region. According to him, now the enemy does not show such intensity in the offensive along the line of combat collision as before.
During the summer, the Russian military will form new units and will be ready to have those that have not yet been formed to start active offensive operations by the second half of the year. Probably the purpose of the enemy on the front remains unchanged - the full capture of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. In case of advancement in the Donbass, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will seek to continue the occupation of the Zaporozhye region on the left bank of the Dnieper.
According to the first scenario, Russians may begin to move towards Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration. To do this, the enemy also needs to be intensified in the following areas: there is also an alternative scenario, which involves repeated attempts by Russian troops to capture Kurakhov and Coal. According to Kovalenko, strategic importance is control over the track 0532 for terrorist groups. This road serves as a key logistic route from Marinka to Village.
"The enemy is now trying to create the conditions for cutting this logistics artery in the Novomikhailivka area. They also press in the direction of victory and water from Sweet. In fact, they now create conditions for pressure not only from the South but also from the north," - " added an expert. In the same way, Kovalenko believes that the enemy can try in the second half of the year again to activate offensive actions in the Kupyansk area.