The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will try to capture the amounts and Kharkiv: the fall of the time ravine is a matter of time - isw

Estimates of Ukrainian and American intelligence services on the position on the forefront are agreed with the forecast of the "Institute of War Study" that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can capture the time of Yar, but it is unlikely to capture large Ukrainian cities. This was reported in the summary of May 2.

In an interview with The Economist on May 2, Deputy Head of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Major General Vadim Skibitsky said that the first attempt to destabilize Ukraine is reduced to military operations aimed at using the current lack of material support and personnel. The Russians, according to skibitsky, knew that April and May would be difficult for months for the Ukrainian army.

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will try to fulfill their task of capturing Donetsk and Luhansk regions, and the Russian command seeks to win the battlefield until May 9 or for the visit of President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin to Pyongyan in mid -May. Skibitsky noted that Ukraine's efforts are now focused on the Temporary Yar, where, according to ISW, Russian troops have the most opportunities to achieve operating meaningful goals.

And although the fall of the city is "probably a matter of time", the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not capture it "today or tomorrow". Everything will depend on the reserves available in the Armed Forces. According to a representative of Ukrainian intelligence, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation made tactical success in the Avdiivka area after recent advancement northeast of the city.

ISW notes that Russian troops are still very far from operating goals in the area, but the threat will remain in the foreseeable future. Skibitsky believes that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will probably begin an offensive in the Kharkiv and Sumy region in late May or early June, but they will not be able to capture sums or Kharkiv. 50-70 thousand personnel have now been accumulated for these efforts.

ISW believes that this will not be enough to seize large cities, but Ukrainian troops will have to be delayed from other areas of the front.

On May 2, the US National Intelligence Director (DNI) stated on May 2, the US Senate Committee on the Armed Forces that Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that current domestic and international trends in his favor and that he is considering his personal stability, the state of Russian economy and effort The Russian Federation on re -equipment as beneficial compared to current problems of Ukraine.