Russia will not have enough living power to achieve the goals of war and occupy the whole of Ukraine - isw

According to Washington analysts, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is not enough personnel for simultaneous support of the scale and rate of Russian offensive operations in Ukraine and defense of the border. The current number of Russian military is not enough to achieve the long -term goals of the Russian Federation on the occupation of all Ukraine, the reduction of general Ukrainian combat capability and the protection of the state border of the Russian Federation.

About it writes "Institute of War Study" in the summary of September 19. The authors of the post refer to the recent publication in The Wall Street Journal, which said that Russian President Vladimir Putin disagreed to the proposal of former Minister Sergei Shoigu to declare mobilization in the spring of 2024, trying to avoid the loss of the electorate. Sources of journalists reported that Putin stated that he would only rely on volunteers.

The source said that the current living power of Russian troops was not enough, but at the request of journalists the Kremlin Prescribe Dmitry Peskov replied that the Russian Federation continues to rapidly recruit contractors and volunteers, and that these forces are enough to support Russian aggression against Ukraine, the Washington analysts say. Construction.

Putin avoids the announcement of another partial mobilization after 300,000 soldiers were announced in response to the Ukrainian counter -offensive in September 2022. In Russia, apparently, there is no necessary personnel resource for simultaneous support of the scale and pace of Russian offensive operations in Ukraine and defensive efforts in its border regions.

At the end of August 2024, a mobilized Russian serviceman and a military blogger stated that the Russian government continues to rely on the rest of the regular forces, mobilized and deceived volunteers who signed short -term contracts. Such personnel support offensive operations in Ukraine, despite poor training and significant losses since October 2023. We will remind that the Armed Forces advanced near Lyubimivka in Glushkiv district of Kursk region.