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Tom Cooper Austrian Military Analyst, specializing in the history of combat avia...

What happens in the hottest points on the front

Tom Cooper Austrian Military Analyst, specializing in the history of combat aviation fields of battles in Ukraine for almost a month actually "sleep". In the sense that, contrary to many statements, neither party has achieved some serious success, but we will check what is happening and where, and whether there are some important "news".

I will start with diplomatic moments, since a kind of "top new" has been a great article in Washington Post, which accuses Zelensky of refusing to perceive the threat of Russian invasion quite seriously and thus failed Ukraine's preparation for this war . Yes, journalists in the district of Columbia seem to join the army of Ukrainians who are accused of Zelensky.

Video of the day no doubt, even Zelensky himself acknowledged the threat: they tried to prevent panic and collapse of the Ukrainian economy. Thus, the situation is: “Well, one can not even say that in the back there is no doubt that US intelligence was right, and there is no doubt that Zelensky was wrong - or at least that he could not mobilize the Armed Forces and bring it to Positions in time. " However, I am an Austrian and I have a slightly different point of view.

Expect that although we, Austrians, are absolutely neutral, we are occupied not only by not only a few problems caused by idiots in our armed forces, reconnaissance services and politicians that receive bribes from Telece We also have one of the largest bases of the US National Security Agency.

Therefore, I consider it my duty to remind our overseas… Allies that after 20 years of delusions about Iraqi IC, progress and improvement in Afghanistan, the election of fascist to president, endless dreams that the left/Marxists seized power and… At the end of the past and early this year, the US intelligence community simply has no confidence. A big surprise, yes? In addition, I am always for all people equal.

Thus, if the ABC can spend more money and time on espionage for all of us and our economy than for hunting terrorists, then our intelligence service here in the EU, and especially in Austria (and Germany) is also eligible Try to surpass both the CIA and the AVR (US military intelligence agency) in abuse of political purposes and corporate interests.

And why should our corrupt policies use the intelligence they are secured than they do than US corrupt policies? Therefore, if an American oligarchy can pay for their intelligence for the spread of science fiction about "Saddam's mobile biolaboratories" and that "In Afghanistan is all right", why not our oligarchy, which was in bed "with Putin gas, cannot do so in Afghanistan.

oil, and/or still dreams of something like the Mix of the Austro-Hungarian Empire-and pay our HNA (and German BND) to come to the conclusion that "Putin will never do something so irrational" (such as an invasion to Ukraine)? To consider this, it is not surprising that the BND director (Federal Intelligence Service of Germany) "caught" in Kiev on February 24, when he convinced Zelensky that Putin would not attack.

It is only strange that he was not accompanied by HNA director (Austria's military reconnaissance office). On the contrary, it is quite strange that both ceased to anticipate the rapid collapse of the Armed Forces - and in view of all this we conclude that giving appropriate influence on "some people further in the East" was inevitable. And when someone, like Zelensky, then receives at least as much intelligence information in the spirit "No, nothing will happen" as "yes," will happen. " Sigh . . .

Now, I hope you have realized what happened. Air/Missile War after a series of self -assemblies at various Russian air tabes and ammunition depots in the occupied Crimea People's intelligence (RUMNT) reported that the CCS of the Russian Federation evacuated the surviving aircraft from the saki airbase. But don't worry: the empire struck. In your style and traditions. On August 17, TU-22m3 VCS used two x-22 to impress the Gulf south of Odessa.

By the way, this is a kind of confirmation that the CCS is practically not left X-22 (probably found these two missiles in some forgotten god of the corner): the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation declared the murder of "more than 300 Ukrainian fighters".

Well, perhaps, it is a confirmation that in the modern dictionary there are terms such as "militarized Ukrainian children" and "Ukrainian extremist pensioners" - otherwise I simply do not imagine what they could still engage in this place. No less "military value" had strokes X-59 in Nikolaev: two blows were added to the demolition of the Black Sea National University named after Petro Mohyla (apparently, this is a "paramilized university"?).

There was still information that there was another blow somewhere in the port, but I could not find any details. The battle for Donbas Kharkiv. The last two days the city has suffered stronger than in the previous weeks. At least 6 people were killed and 18 wounded. Keystone Cops in Moscow (so the author calls the Ministry of Defense of Russia - NV) even used the winged rocket "Caliber" to hit ("paramilitary") a dwelling house in the Saltov district, and then ("paramilitary") hostel.

As for who holds: the front line, meanwhile, is strongly fortified on both sides and passes from Sosnivka to Prudanka, Dementyevka (both held by Ukrainians), to large aisles (neutral stripe) and a small cheerful, thor invaders). To the southeast of Kharkiv last month, the Russians were caught by Ukrainians by surrounding Chkalovsky through a new rot to Grakov. The Ukrainians stopped them only in Rtyshivka. Since then, the Russians have fired Basalivka and Swing.

This is not good for Ukrainians, as the Russians pushed them to Kupyansk - to the limit of effective M777 range. Raisins. To the northwest of the city of Ukrainians (which is the 3rd tank brigade, equipped with T-72) in the Balakliya area over the last few weeks, having lost several villages there. What strengthens my opinion that Ukrainian tank crews usually do not feel good in this war.

At least it seems that both the assault and mechanized crews of the Armed Forces are coping much better than tank parts. I do not know the exact reason: of course, parts such as the 3rd and 4th tank "only recently" (see: Since 2019) have been transformed from reservist to regular status. However, in terms of artillery, they must all be equipped with the same number of guns and rocket launchers.

Where is this impression? Well, so far in the 3rd tank the problem with keeping the front line 4–5 km south-east of Kharkiv and north of Izium, south of Izium, the 93rd mechanized brigade smashed another Russian BTG, which stopped between Vernopillya and a browning for an attack on a new Dmitrovka.

Southeast of raisins: after the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation were displaced from the long (that is, they were not allowed to return there after the counterattack of the 93rd Mechanized Brigade at the end of last month), they are engaged in mines everywhere. Further to the southeast: the ruins of Krasnopillya, Virgin Mary and Tatianivka are safely in the hands of Ukrainians (in fact, the Russians were displaced from all three settlements).

Take a look at the map: this sector is about 30 km in which one mechanized brigade has been raging for a whole month. Of course, many details remain unknown, but according to my most modest estimates, during this period the 93rd Division demilitarized only three Russian BTGs-in exchange for 1 (literally: one) BMP, confirmed as destroyed. Siversk.

Despite the statements/expectations of various experts (who claimed that Zaluzhny asked Zelensky permission from the area to the northeast of Slavyansk and Bakhmut), the front line has been stable for several weeks for several weeks. Of course, the Russians constantly clear the soil and carry out "intelligence of battle", but in the 10th Mining and Two Brigades of PT, it seems that there are no problems with their maintenance in place. To the south, everything is a little different. Bakhmut.

Let's start with Soledar . . . Most of the last 4-5 weeks, the Russians broke through the approaches to this village, strongly fortified by the battalion of the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade. I have long gone from the account how often they declared it enthusiastic. On August 17, it turned out that they were: at least one BTG PVC-only now, finally, came to the southeastern outskirts, where fighting is in the area of ​​residential buildings.

Ukrainian positions south in Bakhmutsky (held by one of the Ukrainian volunteer units) also suffer high pressure. About two weeks ago, in Bakhmut, the 58th Rifle Regiment managed to stop the offensive of the Russians on the eastern outskirts of the city. To the south, the 72nd mechanized brigade has been under heavy pressure in Zaitsev and Codem for at least a week.

I think the Russians have declared the capture of Zaitsev already 4-5 times, but in fact the protection of one top remains a serious problem for them. In other words, the prospects for the rapid offensive of the Russians on Bakhmut are still very scanty. The control line. As stated in my fighting reports early this month, the maintenance of old front lines in the Donetsk area has not been for Ukrainians "entertainment" over the last few weeks.

The Russians fired and stormed such places as New York, Avdiivka, Sands, Krasnogorivka, Marinka, etc. Really "like crazy". The first two still hold. The problem is that the Russians kill a wedge between them: last week they seized a new friend, and later took the survey. Further to the south, the northern sands, meanwhile, seem to be a draw (ie, the 56th mechanized brigade was finally displaced from there), but the attacks on Vodyane and Neuels were reflected.

No less alarming situation in Novomikhailivka: since the Russians have captured sweet, now this place is attacked not from one, but from two directions (east and south). Moreover, the separatists probably went on the road connecting Novomikhalivka with Pavlovka, then southwest. In other words, it turns out that they pass through the best Ukrainian fortifications in the area.

As far as I know, this sector is held by the Ukrainian 53 mechanized brigade, which, if not mistaken, suffered significant losses at the end of February-early March. Of course, it is a great formation (four mehbats, at least one tank battalion, and the anti -aircraft part even operates Tunguski), but it is in constant battles for six months and has never been significantly strengthened (so much that I doubt that he has M777 Or enough of the UAV).

In other words, it is time for the General Staff to start "doing something there" - instead of ignoring this area in their reports. Southern Zaporozhye. There is no news especially - except that the Russians are changing approaches to all villages along the front line. Melitopol.

Russian headquarters and warehouses in the city are fired with such regularity, and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation suffered such losses, and their military leadership is so sure of their ability to maintain control of the city that in the meantime spreads brochures with advice on how to survive Himars. Kherson. Breath.

Ukrainian artillery, meanwhile, is strengthened by the Swedish FH77, so much fired by the Russians that, according to popular intelligence, all the last surviving bridges across the Dnieper are knocked out, and 49-a Caa and XXII AK, The counter -attacks of the Russians at the Ukrainian "Belogorsk bridgehead" (south of David's ford) were reflected with great losses.