The coup in Russia is close? Will Putin go after the front collapse in Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin has successfully cleaned the ranks of top forces, military and oligarchy. Society is intimidated, talking about changing the regime is punishable by articles for the State Council. In the face of total fear, changes can be expected thanks to "palace coups", say analytics and experts surveyed by focus. Russia stands on the threshold of a new wave of rebellion, which is followed by its disintegration according to the example of the USSR in August 1991.

There will be no more campaigns of the "Wagnets" on Moscow, the secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Alexei Danilov is convinced. "Remember how in August 1991 there was a collapse of the USSR. What is raised there and the grouping of the State Committee how it happens, "the official said. The new attempt of rebellion, as Danilov says, is a short period of time and all processes have already been launched.

Russian oligarchs suffer from the Putin regime, because "they are chased like dogs around the world," he added. "Countries are now forbidden to enter their territories of cars with Russian numbers and many other processes that they have little joy. The experts surveyed by the focus were skeptical of such rainbow statements of Danilov. Military expert of the Institute of Euro-Atlantic Cooperation Igor Koziy said that it is premature to talk about a new attempt in the Russian Federation.

"The NSDC Secretary has different exploration, the real state of affairs [in Completing a full -scale war with the Russian Federation. I do not believe that there are forces in Russia, ready for a coup, "he shared his opinion. Volodymyr Putin carried out several waves of cleaning of top forces, military and large businessmen. As an example, Kozii cites General Alexander Dvornikov, who was appointed to manage the war in Ukraine, but later removed from office and unknown where they were sent.

The situation in the Caucasus and the rumors about the possible poisoning of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov's head may not cause a new wave of protests in Russia, according to Echo Caucasus, Russian journalist Vadim Dubnov. Kadyrov's death is unlikely to change political schedules in Moscow, because it is not a serious center of power. The defeat of the "Wagnets" proved the presence of resources for the suppression of riots, the expert continued.

"In Russia, change is worth waiting for the situation at the front, for example, under Bakhmut, but not in Moscow. If there is a collapse of the front for the army of the Russian Federation, there will be serious shifts. But if there is a stringy counter -offensive, the Kremlin will have time to adapt to protest realities and prevent them" , - says Focus Dubnov.

Russia has long needed political transformations, but society is disintegrated and is not able to start discussion about changing the regime. Any such conversations will be considered a state betrayal, says ex-deputy head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Sergey Alexashenko. "It leads to the conclusion that when Putin leaves the political scene, Russia will survive the period of instability," he says in an interview with the Voice of America.

The adviser to the Washington Middle East Media Research Institute of Media Research, Vladislav Forentice, doubts that the victory of Ukraine in the war or the opposition in exile will be able to destroy Putin's regime. In his opinion, it is only possible to hope for a strong disappointment of Russian business elite vector of development of the country. "Palace coups" is a traditional variant of change of power in Russia, says forever.