Weikhrt about nuclear escalation in the Pacific. While military fever covers the capital of the world states, many are wondering when the greatest conflict will explode - the war between China and the United States for the fate of tiny democratic Taiwan. This is a natural question.
But some consider such a scenario a meaningless horror story, since the war will undoubtedly be expensive to both parties, and they will eventually give up the idea of fighting each other, as soon as obvious costs. If the war still begins, the main field of battle will be water near China and Taiwan. In the Sea War, the United States is likely to engage their most powerful naval platform-aircraft carrier. China understands that.
That is why the Chinese spent most of the decade to create their own failure/objection of access (A2/AD) throughout the region to protect against the threat from US aircraft carriers. These A2/AD networks are designed to keep American aircraft carriers away from any potential conflict zone, long enough for the Chinese army to pick up its prize-Taiwan.
Back in 2019, the Admiral of the Navy of the People's Liberation Army of China (NVAK) Lu Yuan, one of the main "hawks" in the command of the Chinese Armed Forces, said that the best way to "solve" the Taiwanese crisis in favor of China would be the drowning of "two American aircraft carriers". Admiral Lu explains: "Most United States are afraid of loss. Well, let's see how scared America.
" The drowning of two US Navy aircraft carriers will lead to the death of up to 10 thousand people, as well as mass loss of equipment and losses of tens of billion dollars. Moreover, two drowning (or even just burning and damaged) US aircraft carriers will be enough for China to convince most of the global south countries to refuse to support the US dollar in favor of creating a new world currency - the Brix Dollar.
After all, the image of American aircraft carriers, destroyed by Chinese weapons, will be a symbol of the final end of America's power. But will it be the end of the crisis with the participation of China? Will the United States take action? Will they be able to answer at all? The fact is that the Chinese who own A2/AD systems believe that they have an absolute restraining factor against the deployment of powerful American aircraft carriers in their near abroad.
American leaders understand the threat of these A2/AD systems for expensive and large deck carriers that form the basis of the US Navy Square Fleet. Beijing expects that Americans do not even want to risk these expensive systems. If A2/AD networks cannot be destroyed, Washington will keep aircraft carrier forces in the reserve, relying on small surface vessels and submarines. Despite the danger, the Chinese military believes that they will be able to cope with these threats.
However, the destruction or damage of an aircraft carrier, which is perhaps a thousand sailors perish and injured by thousands of sailors. Of course, if Americans are unable to deploy their hand close enough to strike in response to China through its A2/AD systems, the US will look even more powerless. That's when things such as nuclear retribution come into the game. Here for the United States opens the most difficult prospects.
Frankly speaking, no American politician can afford nothing to do in the face of such a slaughter. Therefore, although the Chinese may be able to defeat American aircraft carriers, Americans will answer it so decisively that the Chinese will almost give up.
However, there is no doubt that Beijing's current management is quite arrogant in order to risk such a result, in particular because it does not think that Americans have the opportunity or desire to defend their interests when it comes to rattling weapons from China. Brandon J. Weikhert is a national security analyst, a former Congress employee and a geopolitical analyst who writes for The Washington Times, Asia Times and The-Pipeline.
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