Bomb against a bomb. Will Biden place nuclear weapons in Poland

Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Moravetsky stated that his country would like to join the NATO nuclear exchange program among the Russian intentions to place tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus. "The final decision will depend on our American, NATO partners. We declare our will to act quickly in this matter," the Polish Prime Minister said on June 30.

Moravetsky emphasized that he does not want to sit with his hands, while the President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin injects all kinds of threats. It should be noted that this is the second signal from Warsaw on the topic of readiness to accept nuclear weapons in its territory. In October 2022, Poland officially reported that it was not opposed to join the Nuclear Sharing nuclear deterrent program, that is, "nuclear exchange".

This program allows you to provide non -nuclear weapons, warheads for storage. Today, under the Nuclear Sharing program, American nuclear warheads are located on the military bases of Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Italy and Turkey. It is at least 100 nuclear airbombs B61-3 and B61-4 with a capacity of 0. 3 to 340 kilotonic, designed for use by US F-15, F-16 by US fighters, as well as US allies aviation in NATO.

It is noteworthy that it was when Warsaw decided to join "nuclear exchange" that the US changed the plane of replacement of airbombs on European bases. At the beginning of the spring of 2023, it was planned to replace B61-3 and B61-4 aircraft with B61-12 upgraded, which is more modern and controlled as opposed to its predecessors. But at the last moment, the Pentagon shifted the replacement time to an earlier period - the end of December 2022.

According to Politico, then NATO members supported the decision and agreed that the Russian nuclear blackmail could not be exposed. However, Poland's request was left unattended. Like Moravetsky's statement, no official comments from US officials have not yet been made. "After deciding on the placement of his tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, Putin thus showed the West his power.

For him, this decision is symbolic, because in addition to Ukraine, Poland and the Baltic country were in direct threat. Although it is clear that nuclear weapons have no borders, However, such deployment raises the threat. For Poland, the Belarusian factor is serious, count the placement of nuclear weapons and the transition of Wagner PEC. This is what can explain some of the emotional statements of Polish politicians.

Warsaw wants more support from its US ally, if it is not now nuclear Weapons, at least Patriot complexes, "says political expert Maxim Jigun. In 2017, Poland approved a new military doctrine that envisaged the reform of the army for the next 15 years. From the beginning of the full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine, Warsaw began a total re -equipment of its own army, the number of which has increased to 300 thousand people.

An agreement on 500 Himars, 1300 tanks, 650 self -propelled howitzers, dozens of fighters and air defense has already been reached. The government appealed to the Pentagon with a proposal to increase the contingent of the US military. The negotiations are coming since 2019. It becomes clear that it is because of the emergence of US nuclear weapons in Poland that its military will increase. In addition, Warsaw will receive additional security tools that will cover the databases of possible location.

You can also add a certain element of status, because the state will become a sixth non -nuclear country with nuclear weapons. The placement of Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus has partially shaken the parity of forces in Europe, although it was not critical. Focus has already said that Lukashenko would not have access and opportunities for the use of Russian tactical nuclear weapons, which Moscow would place in Belarus.

However, in the case of its use or even preparation for such, it will be a bias blow to Belarus. The director of the Institute of Foreign Policy, Hryhoriy Perepelytsya believes that in the case of deployment of American tactical nuclear weapons in Poland, the parity of forces on the continent will change again, and the world will accelerate the acceleration of the new "Cold War".

"In the event that American tactical nuclear weapons are deployed in Poland, it will change the parity of forces in Europe. Now we return to the Cold War era, as in the 1980s there was a diametrical deployment RSD-10 from the USSR and Pershing II-from the USA. Then the race led to the emergence of a medium and small range missiles (DRSMD). It came out of it in 2019, " - notes the quail. According to experts, the official Washington will not rush to make a decision in favor of Warsaw.

First of all, this is due to the beginning of Joseph Baiden's election campaign, the American leader is more focused on internal problems. "Currently for Biden, the issue of nuclear weapons in Poland is not a priority. It is now included during the election campaign, so it is more focused on US internal issues - unemployment, delaying public debt, economics. For the US President, it is now an urgent issue to minimize their risks.

Do not explain to the voters the reasons for the decision to place nuclear weapons in other countries. In addition, such a decision will provoke resistance in the countries of the global south, Latin America, that is, all those who are not an ally of the United States, "Jigun explains. For his part, quail is more categorical, he believes Biden is afraid of Putin's further steps. It is because of this psychological fragility that we see the lack of political will in the United States.

And it is not only about Poland, but also in the absence of a decision on the long -range ATACMS systems, delaying the issue of fighters for Ukraine. "Biden will not dare to place tactical nuclear weapons in Poland. Therefore, it is not necessary to count on the US symmetrical response to the placement of Russian tactical nuclear in Belarus. Biden's policy is now set up in search William Burns, who was recently in Ukraine.

If you return to Poland, we see a delay in Patriot complexes already purchased by Abrams tanks, lack of reply to 500 Himars and transition to a new f-35 fighter. This is Poland The US strategic ally and NATO member, "the expert says. He believes that NATO does not now dare to use the nuclear component, although in the concept of restraint of 2021, it was registered. The maximum in the Alliance will now seek is to prevent the direct confrontation of NATO and the Russian Federation.