The event appeared in the event

In the US and EU countries, they hope that the counter -offensive of the Armed Forces with Western tanks and new weapons models will be able to punch the hole in the control of the Russian Federation over the Ukrainian territory this spring. Theoretically, this can push Vladimir Putin to be able to negotiate, where the Kremlin will at least abandon the occupied territories that have been captured from the beginning of a full -scale invasion.

Then Ukraine will be able to freely consolidate its future in the West, and Putin can face the anger of its own population, journalists note. However, few officials are convinced that everything will go in this way. There are currently no signs that Western partners are providing a serious plan to Ukraine to help form a course of events. Many politicians are focused on the short term: finding ammunition for defense in the Donbass and ensuring a counter -offensive.

A more likely scenario in the publication is called a war for exhaustion, which will continue until one of the parties will not exhaust so that it will stop it because the ultimate goals will not be clear. In this case, the fighting can be kept for years, not for months. There is also no consensus in the West, what to do with Putin when Ukraine wins. And the President of the Russian Federation is convinced that he can wait when the determination of the West will be undermined.

Western sanctions did not lead to the collapse of the Russian economy because of China's support and oil purchases. Ukraine, for its part, declares negotiation. And the polls show that 97% of Ukrainians believe in victory, so negotiations can lead to the political collapse of the leader of Vladimir Zelensky. Moreover, the publication states that partners could transfer more weapons to Kiev, but this issue is a source of differences.

The United Kingdom and Poland are in the forefront of supplying long -range weapons and fighters. The United States refuses to transmit long -range missiles because of fears of escalation of war. Therefore, Ukraine is now forced to wage a tougher war, although supported by several dozen western tanks. We will remind, on March 21 in NATO stated that the Alliance allocated a assistance for $ 120 billion.