"Will be our answer": The SBU ex-employee predicted when the offensive of the Russians is over

According to him, the invaders increased their activity throughout the front line. However, their resistance in combat is likely to be limited for a long time. The question of which step will take Putin in response to pressure from the Russian forces remains open.

In addition, he recalled that the recently published The Telegraph has reported the possible beginning of the Russian land offensive campaign in the Kharkiv direction, especially in Kharkiv and Kupyansk, which would allegedly begin on January 15. However, Stupak denied these statements by journalists. He added that, despite this, in the Limano-Kupyansk direction the activation of Russians has been going on for several months. "There is a threat.

There is also information that Russian military units are located in the Limano-Kupyansk direction that will still retain their combat capability. Theoretically they can use them when trying to break through. But no one knows what the situation is in that tank army ", - said Ivan Stupak. In general, the Russian military has no serious problems with logistics, and their communication lines function quite effectively.

However, in the Kherson region, over the past one and a half months, Ukrainian military systematically destroy the supply of hostile forces with food, medicines and ammunition. This causes significant damage, especially through the use of unmanned aerial vehicles. That is why problems related to constant losses in strength and equipment, as well as supply, can eventually have serious consequences.

This is especially true in the conditions of activation of the occupation army in different sections of the front. Lack of resources and financial support can significantly affect the combat capability and efficiency of military operations. "My vision is that March-the end of March is the point at which they will be able to press. After that, the situation, I assume, will go into the hands of Ukraine and there will be our answer," the ex-worker of the SBU emphasized.

Stupak also recalled that the President's elections on March 15-17 are planned in the Russian Federation. After this event, the situation will change given that Vladimir Putin will not have to strive for additional support for citizens. "Most likely, the Russians will announce mobilization in April. We do not know if it will be partial or complete. From the moment the mobilization was announced to send the prepared military takes 3 - 4 months. troops, " - said Stupak.

According to him, similar dynamics were also observed in 2023. Indeed, according to estimates, December could be a decisive or even final month in this war, since the resources of the Russian army were exhausted. However, in October 2023, a partial mobilization was announced in Russia, directing a considerable number of people to the front. Thus, the occupiers managed to adjust the situation on the battlefield.