Where and in what volumes the reserves of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are transferred - three most likely directions

"The implementation of the Russian Command Plan on the Summer-Autumn Campaign of 2024, which obviously envisages the organization and conduct of an offensive operation of the operational level (or, better to say, attempts to hold it), will require it to maximize the concentration of these reserves in some chosen operating direction ".

On average, every operational-tactical grouping of troops (Otv) receives an enemy within a month of 1000-1500 "carcasses" to replenish the reserve and restore losses. For those who are active fighting, this figure can reach up to 2000.

Therefore, dear citizens, when you will once again see and read about "terrible" 30 thousand a month, keep in mind - it is clearly and significantly exceeding real indicators (and accordingly, the capabilities) of the enemy in the field of "restoration" and the increase in the number of personnel.

The real number of the enemy reserve, both operational and so-called "strategic", in general (which he managed to create within 6-8 months of this and past years) does not exceed 50-60 thousand units of personnel, in all directions, including the deep rear . And this is the most "optimistic" for the enemy. Another question is the place, way and time of its use . . .

by and large, the implementation of the Russian command for the summer-autumn campaign of 2024, which obviously envisages the organization and conduct of an offensive operation of the operational level (or better to say, attempts to carry out it ), will require the maximum concentration of these reserves in some chosen operating direction. The likelihood of this scenario in one or another directions with you, dear readers, was considered a little earlier, so I will not dwell on them.

Now it is necessary to carefully monitor where and in what volumes the Russian reserves will go and what kind of regrouping will occur as part of the so-called "unineal grouping of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the Southwestern TVD". This will more accurately and really testify to the actual plans and ideas of the enemy. To date, my subject opinion is probability, the first "three" is as follows: Source.