"According to the media, only 30% of the shells now used by Russia produced in the country. If it is true, Russian arsenals of ammunition of Soviet times should be empty," he wrote, noting that in the spring of 2024 Russia used from 50,000 to 10 to 10 000 shells a day. Despite the production of 1. 7 million shells a year since 2014, this is not enough for a long war. Therefore, new shells come to the Russian Federation from North Korea.
The blogger noted that he had no access to fresh satellite images for each Russian arsenal, but he studied the largest. "The first is 1819 and the artillery base of ammunition, where (obviously) artillery ammunition is stored. By September 2024 it is almost empty . . .
Some ammunition remained, but I would appreciate that 90% are gone, and the rest in question," He said just Because and continued to follow the list: "These observations from the arsenals, where ammunition are stored outside, indicate that there are few ammunition of the Soviet era," Osint analyst notes. According to him, the arsenals closer to the border with Ukraine serve as logistical centers for recently produced and rendered shells. Some of them have been recently destroyed.
He also spoke about the Russian SAU. The OSINT analyst believes that the Russians have taken over 8,000 SAUs and towing tools (without mortars) from warehouses. If they use 20,000 shells a day, by mid -2024, Russia would use more than 18 million shells. "Given that the barrel of the gun loses accuracy after about 3000 shells, we can assume that more than 6,000 barrels could wear out. However, some of these shells are mortar, and guns are also replaced by destroy Suitable, " - says Just Because.
In his opinion, Russia has really exhausted its reserves of projectiles of the Soviet era. However, many underestimate the role and contribution of North Korea to the war in Ukraine. "According to media reports, Russia now produces 3 to 4. 3 million shells a year-8000-12 000 a day, but this is not enough to maintain the rate of use in 2022-2023. North Korea support is crucial. As before, significant, probably, you can not agree for two years. Reporting of Russian soldiers with North Korean artillery.
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