On Monday, March 18, Poland Ambassador Jan Emerik Roszyshevsky said on the French TV channel LCI that Poland would be forced to go to war with Russia if Ukraine fails to protect its independence. The diplomat's quote was widely grounded in the media, including Russian media. A little later, the Poland Embassy in France commented on Roszyshevsky's words, saying that the phrase said by the ambassador was torn out of context and interpreted incorrectly.
The focus asked political scientist Vladimir Fesenko, what was referring to a Polish diplomat, and under what circumstances Russia could attack the Member Country of the North Atlantic Alliance. The military-political bloc has repeatedly emphasized that they do not intend to participate directly in the war against the Russian Federation in the territory of Ukraine, Vladimir Fesenko reminds.
NATO has a clear political setting - to avoid direct contact with Russia because of the high risks of nuclear war. Therefore, any conversations about Poland's entry into the military conflict are not true, he specifies. "We should not have any illusions - it is not even said that Poland will fight against Russia in Ukraine," the political scientist comments.
According to the expert, the statement of Ambassador Rosyshevsky should be understood as that Warsaw is ready to defend its territories in the event of Moscow's attack on Poland. "Of course, the Poles will protect themselves in the case of Russian aggression. It was this diplomat and meant. It can be said that he was publicly voiced that in Warsaw is discussed informally," Fesenko explains.
The Secretary-General of the Jens Stoltenberg's Military-Political Bloc has repeatedly warned Moscow that the Alliance would not attack the NATO member country. "There is only one reason why NATO can change its decision not to participate directly in the war against the Russian Federation-the attack of Russian troops on the Alliance Member country," Fesenko says.
The political scientist is convinced that the risk of Moscow's military aggression against the states of the military-political bloc is indeed present. "May be anything. We cannot appreciate the degree of madness of the person who govern Russia, the degree of its adventure. The full -scale war with Ukraine, which from a rational point of view also should not be started, shows that the risk of attack on the country of NATO exists", " - explains the expert.
In the Alliance, this is understood and trying to take preventive measures to define their territories. In this regard, the grouping of the block on border areas with Russia is ongoing. Yes, Politico wrote on March 18 that NATO is ready to send 300,000 its military to borders from the Russian Federation. And a day earlier, the Polish Portal Samorzadowy reported that Warsaw wants to place Himars near the Kaliningrad region of the Russian Federation.
According to Fesenko, Russia can invent different scenarios to "justify" military aggression against one of NATO countries. Thus, another "special military operation" in the Kremlin can be announced to capture the so -called "Succy corridor" - areas on the border of Poland and Lithuania, which could combine the Kaliningrad region with Belarus. This topic was widely covered last summer, when the Russian region was "blocked" due to the sanctions of the European Union, as they claimed in Moscow.
Another formal occasion for Russia to attack NATO country is the entry of Finland to the Alliance, says Fesenko. According to him, this can lead to contact in the Baltic Sea. As the political scientist emphasizes, Russia has no potential today to win a full -scale war with NATO, but that does not mean that Moscow does not decide to attack at some point. And in the Alliance, the threat from the Russian Federation is very serious.
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