4 Scenarios: War in Ukraine can end in negotiations or nuclear weapons - media

According to journalists, in the early days of the invasion, many thousands of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation broke into Ukrainian regions in different directions, in particular from the territory of Belarus. In the north, the Armed Forces managed to displace the enemy, after which there were successful operations in the Kharkiv direction, as well as Kherson. In the summer of 2023, Ukrainian troops began a counter -offensive, which in the West was considered allegedly unsuccessful.

He did not bring territorial success, and the front line froze. On February 17, the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Oleksandr Syrsky decided to leave Avdiivka to avoid losses. Experts say that Ukraine now hopes that the event will continue to support Kiev and supply weapons. It remains to be believed that the moral spirit of Russia is weakened through a long war.

If the partners continue, the Armed Forces will be able to restrain the Russian offensive, which was previously stated by a representative of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Max Bergmann. In particular, hopes for allocating $ 60 billion from the United States. "If this funding is approved, I have no doubt that Ukraine will be able to completely absorb the Russian offensive, which will last until 2024.

In fact, I would be very optimistic about Ukraine's potential in 2025," Max Bergmann said. The agreement in Washington has already approved the Senate, after which it should go to the House of Representatives. There will have to face the opposition by representatives of the Republican Party. Recently, Ukraine has managed to win several noticeable victories, the authors of the material continue. It is about the fight against the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation in the sea.

The Ukrainian side has destroyed a number of important enemy ships, including "Caesar Kunykov" and "Novocherkassk", which significantly influenced the combat potential of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Further, the situation on the front will depend on the actions of the new military command, says the head of the Department of Strategy in CSIS Eliot A. Cohen, referring to the appointment of the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Alexander Sirsky.

"I do not see Ukrainians surrender because it is an existential war for them. It is not an existential war for Russia," the statement said. The second variant of journalists implies that Russia will still be able to win Ukraine. According to them, the Armed Forces could suffer significant losses in ammunition, weapons and the number of troops. If assistance from the event does not recover, then the situation may reach a critical point. Eliot A.

Cohen noted that problems in the United States have forced Europe to intensify and allocate new help packages for Ukraine, but it may not be enough. He believes that if you allow supplies to Ukraine to be depleted, then the war will be exhausted, and such a script plays in Russia. "In the war for the exhaustion of the front line can break if the exhausted side is sufficiently exhausted. So I think the transfer of assistance is very important.

I think the analogy with the First World War may be fruitful. No one expected the war in November 1918 years. You know, in September, even in early October, people plan campaigns in 1919. And it was not just one crash, but a number of posts. I think something like this can happen in this case, "the head of the strategy department continued in CSIS.

The third version of journalists implies that in the near future Ukraine and Russia will be able to find a common language and enter into a peace agreement. In January, Bloomberg has released a material that reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin had already applied to the United States to start peace talks and thus end the confrontation. The Kremlin has stated that this news is not true.

In any case, Ukraine should make the decision, said Edrien Watson, a spokesman for the US National Security Council after the incident. Reuters wrote that the United States refused to consider Vladimir Putin's proposal for ceasefire if Kiev was not involved in these negotiations. The final scenario stipulates that if the situation does not change, nuclear war can be waiting for the world.

Journalists write that from February 24, 2022, the Russian President has repeatedly stated that he could allegedly use nuclear weapons if necessary. In the West, thoughts were shared. Some believe that this cannot be taken seriously, while others have tensed. Senior Vice President CSIS Seth Jones said in a comment to reporters that the use of nuclear weapons is associated with great risks, including Russia, because such actions will not remain unanswered.

"What will it turn out for Vladimir Putin's regime? We will remind, on February 15 it was reported that Donald Trump wants to force Ukraine to negotiate with the Russian Federation, in the event of a victory in the presidential election in the United States.