Without NATO, weapons and two areas: what will Putin's requirements for a 30-day truce

Bloomberg, citing its own anonymous sources, writes that the agreement between Washington and Kiev creates a dilemma for Putin because it does not take into account the requirements that Russia has set out earlier to terminate the fighting. One of the Kremlin close to the Kremlin said that the Russian side may demand the termination of weapons supply to Ukraine as one of the conditions of the truce.

Focus, together with political experts, dismantles the possible requirements of the Kremlin for Ukraine and Trump and the likelihood of their approval. According to political scientist Igor Reiterovich, Putin may make demands concerning not only Ukraine but also the general presence of the United States in Europe. For example: "Any such actions will look like a demonstration of the weakness of the United States, which contradicts the image of Trump.

However, it can give it not as a concession to Russia, but as part of its policy. For example, a reduction in military presence can be designed as a" general rotation "that he has initiated. Reitrovich's focus. Political scientist Oleg Posternak believes that Putin may require Ukraine to agree in advance to certain conditions of the future peace agreement.

But now the issue is not in the peace agreement, but only in the ceasefire, that is, the stop of the active phase of war, which is the Trump and Ukraine. "It is unprofitable for Putin, so he will most likely require Ukraine to recognize certain conditions, including refusing to join NATO, possible changes in the Constitution on this, as well as prohibition on the placement of European security forces, even if they are not under the flag of NATO.

Officially, Putin has already established them in his documents as Russian. As for Trump, it is difficult to predict how he will respond to Russian demands. He may try to understand whether Ukraine is ready to make some concessions or find a compromise. Posternak also believes, he can put pressure on Kiev by reducing military assistance, limiting the exchange of intelligence, or even weakening sanctions against Russia, using it as levers of influence.

If Ukraine does not go to the demands of Russia, how will Donald Trump act? What levers to press to end the war? And here the opinions of political experts were divided. Igor Reityrovich believes that the US president can "psytala" if Putin starts inflating the rates. In this case, Trump will strengthen Ukraine's support, more rigid sanctions against Russia, and will also expand the US cooperation with European partners.

"He has all the levers for the task of a serious blow to Russia, even more faster and harder than the Biden administration. But the question is whether he will have political will. Trump does not want to act hard about Russia. Reitrovich. In turn, Oleg Posternak believes that on the contrary, Trump is likely to be more attentive to Russia's requirements and will try to find an option that will be as acceptable to it as possible.

That is, it will be pressed on Ukraine and forcing it to go to the Kremlin's demands. "At present, the US geopolitical interests are in the fastest understanding of Russia to fulfill other Trump strategic goals in the international arena," Posternak says. Recall that the President of the United States of America Donald Trump spoke about a delegation of representatives of the White House, who will fly to the Russian Federation with a proposal of a 30-day armistice.

Vice president Jay Di Vation added that they speak with the Kremlin by phone and personally. In addition to the armistice, Trump also touched on a prominent event that will happen on April 2. The White House Head of the Head was heard while meeting with Ireland Prime Minister Michel Martin, who came to the oval office. Also, the United States Secretary of America Marco Rubio said that a 30-day truce between Ukraine and Russia can begin within days if the Russians agree to this proposal.