From Gaza to Ukraine: Wars and conflicts accumulate in the world - The Economist

In addition to the Russian-Ukrainian war, there is a threat to Taiwan and the war in Israel in the Civil War in Mali, Myanmi and Sudan. What distinguishes the current situation from all previous conflicts is that the United States will not be able to intervene in a situation so simply. In this case, China and the Russian Federation work together more persistently. India and Turkey are also trying to pursue independent policies.

The great powers are becoming more and more polarized on issues where they tried to move together. In the Middle East of the Russian Federation, she became closer to Hamas, breaking the years of thorough diplomacy with Israel. China, which has recently emphasized on soft statements, has used the war in Israel to criticize the United States. Chinese statements are becoming more threatening.

In addition, there are rapprochement between the Russian Federation, China, the DPRK and Iran, which reject the dominant role of the United States. The block of anti -American countries exchanges technologies, conduct joint training and patrol. The situation forced Australia, Japan, South Korea and New Zealand to participate in NATO summits. The new world clutter puts under the tension of the institutional capacity of America and its allies, while expanding their military capabilities.

"For national security advisers after the Cold War, the current situation is more like cooking on a stove with eight hotplates, each of which has a frying pan, which is about boiling," says the US National Security Advisor in the 1970s, Stephen Hedley. Even if diplomacy is able to control several frying pans at once, the simultaneity of crises will be a difficult challenge. The current war in Israel shows that military power is the same deficit as diplomatic capacity.

Meanwhile, Western officials are increasingly afraid that the war in Ukraine can be delayed for another five years. Neither Russia nor Ukraine is ready to concede, but will not be able to get out of the dead end. In parallel, the likelihood of an attack of China on Taiwan increases. However, even without war, the military potential of the event will be under high pressure in the coming years. The war in Ukraine has shown how quickly resources can end in the Great Wars.