This information was commented in the Espresso comment on December 12 by the military expert and editor -in -chief of Defense Express Oleg Katkov. "The fact that 100% of Russians can launch a" Orezhnik "rocket is not even discussed. They have such an opportunity. However, it is not really correct to navigate this issue to the Notam message, that is, a warning about closing airspace," the analyst said.
He explained that Russia is closing the airspace over the landfill of the cabbage Yar not only to launch a "pagan". There are also tests of missiles and training of anti-aircraft missile units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Katkov stressed that the sky above the landfill is "very often closed", and this does not guarantee preparation for the start of ballistics.
"Again, this does not exclude that they can close the sky before starting, but in most cases it happens for training, or some tests of anti -aircraft missiles," he said. According to the expert, the launches of new ballistic missiles are more called to threaten the West, namely the European part of NATO. In particular, the blow to the Dnieper was to show the threat of nuclear strike to European countries.
"The Russians really have the opportunity to launch Orezhnik missiles if they have these tools in stock. As for their nuclear doctrine, they do not need changes due to the emergence of this rocket. First, they have already made changes to their own nuclear doctrine. Secondly, the "Oreshnik" is in any case a medium-range ballistic missile, which is intended for the task of nuclear impact, "Katkov said.
The Kremlin narrative that "Orezhnik" was a conventional weapon, he linked to the event response to the Dnieper. The analyst assured that it was a demonstration of nuclear stroke for cities such as Berlin, London and Paris. "It should be understood that for the Russian Federation of Medium -range missiles for the European combat theater completely overlap all the necessary opportunities. For the Russian Federation, there are enough rockets with a range of 3500 km to get down to Gibraltar. He added.
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