Fatigue of armies and society: the media found out why Ukraine and the Russian Federation are close to negotiations

The question is which one will take the first step, writes Viewer Mark Urban in the article for The Sunday Times. Recently, it is estimated that there are signs of conflict transition to the "final and difficult phase", as well as the exhaustion of both parties.

Putin's threats to the war after the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces to strike around the Russian Federation with long -range missiles - confirmation that the Russian leader "is nervous because of the approach of the turning point is not in his favor," Columnist says.

The statements of British Prime Minister Cyrus Starmer to Washington about the expectation of truly important events in the coming months emphasize the frustration of the hopeless situation and the desire to bring the situation to the solution as soon as possible. Obviously, both sides try hard to gather enough soldiers to continue the war and at the same time suffer from blows to infrastructure.

Qatar's attempt in August 2024 to make a mediator in a ban on power systems strikes Russia and Ukraine to the first significant diplomatic cooperation for many months, the author of the article indicates. For Zelensky, the political danger of ceasefire is obvious: the stop of war without a reliable version of the return of the occupied territories will be perceived as betrayal, especially those who have killed relatives.

However, Urban notices a gradual increase in the number of Ukrainians who want to start negotiations with Russia. There are signs of general fatigue from war and alertness in Ukrainian society. Hundreds of thousands of men remain abroad, avoiding the call, and among those who served, almost 19,000 people have accused of desertion at the beginning of this year.

In May, the mobilization law for replenishment of losses in the Armed Forces came into force, but from the front there are complaints about the lack of motivation to beginners - they simply refuse to fight. All this was the reason for the gloomy summer for the Ukrainian army in most of the Donbass, the journalist notes. Zelensky called a large -scale Ukrainian invasion of the Kursk region of the Russian Federation as part of the Victory Plan.

But the success of the operation is absolutely not guaranteed and soon the President of Ukraine will face a difficult choice. The internal pressure on Zelensky is also keen on demanding to stop the war in combination with the indecision of Western allies. Russia has achieved military success with a huge price: British intelligence estimates Russia-August in July-August at about 65,000 people. Putin does not want to order a general mobilization that will create him internal political difficulties.

Instead, the Russian command regularly raises salaries and awards to the military, and is looking for mercenaries. "The main issue in the termination of a military conflict is whether both warring parties have come to the conclusion that they cannot get more if they continue the war," Urban said. Ukrainian diplomats have been declared open to negotiations for months, probably in Turkey or one of the Gulf countries.

The great question is whether a significant change in the Kremlin's views has occurred, the author summed up. We will remind, the sources of Bild wrote that Zelensky during a visit to the United States is about to present a "strategy of war", which includes a willingness to temporarily freeze the military situation. Republican Senator James David Vance has previously called the causes of Russia's war with Ukraine.