According to him, the IMF forecast for the first time took into account the consequences of Russia's attacks on Ukrainian energy. As a result, analysts predict GDP growth in 2023 by only 1%. "Economic activity will stabilize next year, but given the devastating impact of the war, recovery will be at anemic level +1%," the message reads. He stressed that this is the most conservative expectations of Ukraine's GDP for next year. Thus, the current government forecast provides 3.
2%of growth, the NBU - 4%, and the World Bank - 3. 3%. "But all these forecasts were made in early October and were not complete. For example, they did not take into account the escalation with fire infrastructure shelling," the official explained. Earlier, Dragon Capital CEO Tomash Filad made a disappointing forecast for Ukraine's GDP for 2022. The reason is electricity problems. "As for GDP, we have a reduced forecast this year due to electricity problems - from 30 to 32% of the recession," he said.
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