Diagnosis of the Kremlin. Putin will gradually lose power, and the elites will begin the war "all against all" - expert on internal policy of the Russian Federation

The degradation of the political system created by Putin has already begun, explained by Alexei Izhak, an analyst of the Strategic Studies Edit by. In the fall, the Russian dictator Putin is 70 years old. And although he, apparently, has a number of diseases, the Kremlin's master is not going to yield. But the political situation in the Russian Federation is so that in the near future it will have to move away from cases - either at will or under pressure of the elite.

This is confident in the analyst Alexei Izhak, Head of the Regional Policy Department of the National Institute for Strategic Studies (NISD), who, in particular, specializes in Russian domestic policy. Video of the day as and to whom Putin will give way to the authorities - he spoke about it with Izhak.

- What is the most likely scenario of change of power in Russia? - I think it will happen that when the Soviet Union was collapsed: first there is a change in power and policy, which will come out of control due to a number of circumstances. I assume that Putin will prepare a successor, will agree such a person with the elite, and then there will be a situation such as in modern Kazakhstan. When the Patriarch's transit seemed to be perfectly conducted with a crisis.

However, Russia is currently focused on such a scenario when the patriarch departs from the presidential chair, but heads the Security and Defense Council and controls force structures, and probably a quota in parliament. There may be something unpredictable in Russia, because the system of power is sufficiently tense. The Russian elite has committed many crimes against each other.

There has been a civil war since the 1990s, when the redistribution of assets began and some oligarchs have lost their property [for example, the case of Yukos and Mikhail Khodorkovsky]. In addition, there was a process of gradual squeezing certain layers of society and political groups in politics.

Even the assassination and killings of Putin's political opponents [in February 2015, Boris Nemtsov was killed in the center of Moscow with four shots], and eventually an attempt was to kill Alexei Navalny as a representative of alternative elites. All this means that there will be no reconciliation in Russia when Putin's successor will come to power.

Everyone who "tears" and received assets, based on the security guarantees from Putin, will already feel that such guarantees will melt and try to act independently as Ramzan Kadyrov. - It is very noticeable that Kadyrov has exclusive rights in Russia as the head of the region. - Actually, his power holds on Putin. And that does not mean that the one who comes after Putin will be able to guarantee the same Kadyrov rights. There are enough people in Russia.