"It will end in Donbass": experts predicted the war in Ukraine in 2024
As for the strategic plans of the opposing parties, the Ukrainian army will try to reach the Azov Sea and possibly liberate Crimea, and Russia will throw all its forces on the full occupation of the Donbass. This opinion was expressed on December 7 by military analysts in the material of Onet Wiadomości. The authors of the publication wanted to find out how the events at the theater of hostilities in Ukraine and what were the chances of cessation of war.
The offensive actions on both sides are not expected in the coming months. Due to the weather conditions, when rainy and raw weather prevails, neither the Armed Forces nor the Russian army will conduct large -scale military operations. Now the armies are moving into defense and accumulation of forces. The fighting will continue, but the front line will remain stable until spring, analysts suggest. "Winter in Ukraine is usually rainy and dirty.
And the movement of heavy equipment in such weather conditions is almost impossible," experts explained. In their view, although the Ukrainian armed forces did not reach all the goals during the counter -offensive this year, the Ukrainian army has made significant progress. In particular, significant successes were made in the Black Sea, because after the attacks of Ukrainian drones, the invaders' navy does not know where to hide.
"The war for exhaustion will continue in winter, mostly because of the desire to win the enemy by remote methods," - said the Colonel of the Armed Forces in the retired Oleg Zhdanov. According to him, Ukraine will accumulate forces by reviewing mobilization measures and preparing for a spring counter -offensive. At the same time, the future success of the offensive actions of the Ukrainian forces will largely depend on the number of combat aviation provided by allies.
Experts believe that it is the lack of aircraft that did not allow the Ukrainian armed forces to achieve their goals in 2023. Military expert Dmitry Snegirev calls another important factor - demining. Their absence significantly complicates the offensive of the Ukrainian army, as the territories that move infantry are replaced in several orders of magnitude. All military experts agree that the scenario of the end of the war of next year is unreal.
And in 2024, Ukraine will try to do something that failed to do in the current - to break through the defense of the enemy and enter the Azov Sea. In this way, the Ukrainian army will block the Russian land corridor. "The Armed Forces of Ukraine will try to move to Zaporozhye and Kherson. We will try to go to the administrative borders of Crimea. These areas will be priority.
In the best case, we will liberate the territories of Berdyansk and Melitopol districts and go to the Azov Sea," Snegireov said. At the same time, one of the "hottest" regions will be Donbas, where the occupiers will try to control the entire territory of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. "The invaders want to take control of the whole territory of Donetsk region. This is their main task.
Because now the Ukrainian army controls 55% of the territory of Donetsk region, it is Putin's personal military-political defeat," Snegirev said. Zhdanov agrees with these words. He added that if nothing changes in the political space of the Russian Federation and Ukraine will have to defend the Donbas, it will be the third war. "These will be very large -scale actions. We will increase our combat potential, as well as Russia. And all this will end in the Donbass," Zhdanov summed up.