2025-year of peak pressure. How much money did Russia prepare for war in Ukraine

Russia is preparing to fight in Ukraine for at least three years. Economist Alexei Kush draws such a conclusion by studying the three -year budget plan of the Russian Federation regarding its military expenditures. According to the previous three -year budget plan of the Russian Federation, the peak of military Russian expenditures had to fall for the current year - $ 120 billion, or more than 5% of GDP.

But now Russia has formed a new three -year plan, so the peak of military expenditures should be formed next year: 13. 2 trillion rubles (6. 2% of GDP) or about $ 145 billion. As I said, this year there will be $ 120 billion. In 2026, a sharp decline is not expected - 5. 6% of GDP, almost as it is now. In 2027-5. 1%. Due to the growth of GDP of the Russian Federation in absolute numbers, the military budget will be the same $ 120 billion.

According to my estimates, the structure of the military budget in 2025 will be as follows: about $ 60 billion. - On the financial support of personnel and the same amount - on weapons and ammunition. As I wrote earlier, the purpose of the Russian Federation is to form a military group up to 1 million people in the occupied territory of Ukraine in 2025.

Apparently, after reaching this amount, contract hire will be carried out to replace the arranged and release the first wave of mobilization of the fall of 2022. The increase in the number of grouping is probably not. That is, Russia plans the peak of military pressure for the 2025th with the preservation of this peak tension during the period 2026-2027. Three years of peak pressure, unless the format of end of the war is found.