Which US weapon will be transferred to Ukraine and whether the situation with Taiwan will be hindered
I would say so: against the background of sufficiently successful use of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces, the quality of military equipment provided - complex, expensive - increases. That is, in a quality measurement of weapons is supplied well. The classification of types of weapons that we are provided with is increasing. But the number for us is unsatisfactory. There are subjective and objective reasons for this. Objective causes are simple.
The overwhelming number of NATO countries that weapons were not preparing for great wars. Did not plan to participate in large -scale wars. And they do not have so much that we need. I will explain in a simple example - RSZV of different types - what we really need. In the vast majority of NATO countries, the number of CPDs is measured by dozens. Ukraine needs hundreds.
In the list of countries with most of this type of weapon, in the first twenty, mostly those that RSSV will not be given to us for obvious reasons: China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, Myanmar, Libya, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Serbia, Serbia, Serbia, Serbia Armenia. In the list of countries whose number of CPDs are measured by hundreds, only the United States. But there is also a problem here. Now it has become especially relevant - it is a possible threat of invasion of China into Taiwan.
Unlike Ukraine, Taiwan is an ally of the United States despite the fact that they have not officially recognized their independence. But they have a separate document - an act of relations with Taiwan - which provides Taiwan assistance. Therefore, a certain number of weapons are reserved in unforeseen cases, in particular, for the period of exacerbation or open military conflict between Taiwan and China.
And depending on the degree of involvement of the United States in this process, they will have to provide Taiwan some military and technical assistance. Therefore, a certain number of weapons, even with great desire, will not be able to be transferred to Ukraine. This will be a problem. In addition, HIMARS ammunition is very expensive, and the US is very fond of us. They can be understood. And they do not have a large excess of these ammunition.
Because the United States was also not preparing for the fact that they would have to supply these ammunition somewhere on an industrial scale. Therefore, once again I will say: ammunition and weapons are supplied to us, but in large numbers, unfortunately, I think, at least so far, we can not count on hundreds of such systems and hundreds of thousands of missiles. And this applies not only to the RSSU.
A large number of countries that are ready to supply us do not have a large amount of weapons, especially modern ones, which they can transfer to us without loss for our own national security. They do it. Someone is more active, someone is more passive. It is necessary to pay tribute to the countries that do it actively, this is the United Kingdom, the USA and Poland.
Despite all the unfavorable circumstances that have exacerbated Taiwan, there is a progress in relations with our partners to expand the weapons that Ukraine will receive. I am definitely not the greatest optimist, but I have a reasonable optimism on this issue. Because a month ago, the question of whether to provide us with combat aviation was discussed very theoretically, today it has come out into a practical plane. We will be able to get these planes.
The question is, these will be F-15 or F-16. Although slower, the question of providing us with certain air defense systems and returned to the issue of obtaining ATCMS missiles. It is hoped that we will go from conversations to specific supplies. We will slap this rock every day at the cost of huge casualties, the efforts of our military. And gradually we break this ice, they say, you will lose, you will not learn to work.