Summer offensive of Russia: Kherson and Sumy regions - experts told where to wait for the attacks
He refused to negotiate in order to hold a new offensive in the summer, said the head of the Center for Honoring Missing at the NSDC Andriy Kovalenko. "Putin chose the war and refused to complete it for the sake of a summer offensive," he wrote in the morning.
The Western edition of Atlantic Suncil believes that since a peaceful initiative under the leadership of the United States continues to fail, the Summer offensive of the Russian Federation in Ukraine can become one of the most bloodiest in the whole war. In the coming months, Russia hopes to develop progress for breakthrough on the Eastern Front, while Ukraine seeks to demonstrate the country's partners that it is able to stop Putin's military car and keep the front line.
Although the Kremlin insists on readiness for peace, events on the battlefield testify to another. According to the UK Ministry of Defense, Russia has intensified its offensive operations and suffered approximately 160,000 losses during the first four months of the current year, which is the highest amount of losses during this period since the beginning of a full -scale invasion.
If this trend persists during the next battle season, 2025 will be the most fraudulent year of war in terms of losses of Russians. The Russian strategy continues to rely on expensive frontal attacks, but the nature of these attacks is constantly changing. Russian troops are now increasingly used by motorcycles and other improvised vehicles to promote small groups and penetration into Ukraine's defense lines.
These attacks are supported by percussion drones, cabins and artillery, which complicates Ukraine's reinforcement to Ukraine or providing medical and engineering support. The ultimate goal is to force the Ukrainian tactical forces to retreat and move forward. According to CNN, European leaders do not rule out that Russian negotiations with Ukraine will not be able to lead to something meaningful to force Moscow to suspend the war when there are signals that it is preparing for a summer offensive.
In the end, Ukraine, France, the United Kingdom, Germany and Poland have faced a short choice: the loss of patience with the Trump administration, which can cause the White House to simply "go. " This can lead to the United States to stop Ukraine, along with their efforts for peaceful solution - which is a potential catastrophe for European security.
The obvious enormous diplomatic rise of last week, made by French President Emmanuel Macron, Prime Minister of Great Britain, Kir Start, and, of course, President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky, put the White House in a position when he was forced to support a direct attempt to take control of Europe.
Europe really imposes Russia's proposal, originally made by the United States and Ukraine-a 30-day unconditional ceasefire, first proposed after a bilateral meeting in Saudi Arabia almost two months ago. But they also force the White House to activate, monitor the truce, and then support the strict consequences - Macron called them "mass sanctions" - if the initiative fails. "This is the most important diplomatic moment of war. But the price of inaction-as it was in Europe in the 1930s-was higher.
The loss of Trump's patience against, perhaps, the most difficult point of his portfolio is likely to harm Kiev more than Moscow. - the publication notes. The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation now does not have enough forces and means to force the Dnieper River in Kherson region, but that does not mean that the offensive will not happen at all. Vladislav Voloshin, a spokeswoman for the southern Ukraine forces of Ukraine, told about it on the air of the telephone.
He said that in the Kherson region, in fact, the Ukrainian military recorded how Russian invaders conduct "intelligence and search actions" and try to move across the river in the island area in one or two boats and carry out exploration of the front edge of the Armed Forces. Vladislav Voloshin says that Ukrainian intelligence at this point did not show enough enemy's strength to carry out a large -scale forcing and planting the landing of the Russians on the right bank of the Dnieper.
"There is a great assault surgery here, and it takes a lot of effort and means to collect. It is almost impossible to hide such a cluster from modern reconnaissance. Therefore, there is no great threat in the near future.
However, the enemy is quite insidious, and to say that there is no threat to conducting a forcing operation at all," The Azerbaijana military analyst Agil Rustamzade in a comment to Focus believes that the behavior of the Russian Federation on negotiations indicates that Russia has not departed from its main goal in this war-the surrender of Ukraine, and in this way he puts a lot in this war in the war-summer company.
"Instead, we see that Ukrainian monitoring channels say that in Russia, mobilization processes are exacerbated. Most likely, it is likely to accumulate large forces and means in the Zaporozhye direction. It will be possible in the Sumy region, where they will be able to collect forces and money in their territory in certain places, "he said.
Hip Rustamzade added that it is now noticeable that there is an activation of offensive actions in the Sumy direction, as well as, all over the eastern front is activation. "In several directions, we see a constant trend in the growth of offensive. The deputy head of the Presidential Office Pavel Palis - Colonel of the Armed Forces, Eccount 93 Separate Mechanized Brigade "Kholodny Yar" believes that Russia will continue to continue the offensive in Ukraine and has several goals in the short term.
"I think, in the near future, the enemy will focus attention to enter the administrative borders of Lugansk and Donetsk regions to create a buffer zone, as they call it, in the territory of Ukraine, along the borders in Kharkiv and Sumy regions. Comments Army TV Pavel Palis.
Meanwhile, the General Staff of the Armed Forces published the losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in Ukraine from the beginning of a full -scale Russian invasion that, compared to the data for the same number of assault on May 10, the number of losses of the Armed Forces in the Pokrovsky direction has increased significantly, where more than three hundred people and units of Ukraine were eliminated.