There are three scenarios: Analysts from ISW told how and when the Armed Forces break through the Russian defense line

There are several variants of a victorious battle for Ukraine, but they all require a lot of strength and endurance. Much depends on Western partners who supply weapons to Kiev. Analysts predicted which scenario of the counter -offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be called successful. Analysts of the American Institute of War Study Karolin Girrd and Kateryna Stepanenko, as well as Frederick V. Kagan from the American Institute of Entrepreneurship in Time on August 3, write about it.

According to them, the situation still remains favorable to the Ukrainian side, although the troops on the battlefield have received only limited progress on the battlefield. There are several options for how victorious promotion can occur. First of all, they noted that today's Ukrainian mechanized breakthrough can be used against the Russians and break through their defensive lines.

Secondly, analysts write, Russian invaders have already begun to suffer from demoralization and other systemic problems. It remains to wait when they will finally break under pressure from the Ukrainian military. "Thirdly, the constant pressure and the interception campaign, supported by great efforts similar to the one currently conducted can create breakdowns in Russian positions that Ukrainian forces can first use locally and then for deeper breakthroughs.

The first and second opportunities Relatively unlikely, but possible, " - the message reads. The first two variants, according to analysts, may happen, but they are considered unlikely. And here is the third closest to Ukrainian success. It is slower than it can be dissatisfied in the West. The third plan also depends on the assistance of the event that constantly supplies equipment and weapons to Ukraine. If they continue to do it, then the probability of success is almost guaranteed.

Separately, it is stated that the so -called slow pace of counter -offensive is associated with the desire of Ukraine to minimize the losses and thus knock the Russians out of their defensive positions. "It is still a maneuverable war, not a war for exhaustion, simply at a slower pace. Therefore, it requires patience, but it can be successful. With this approach, Ukrainians have succeeded both in Kherson and in Kharkiv direction," analysts say.