Russia prepares a third attack near Avdiivka. That is principled newly folded on the key area of ​​the front

Under Avdiivka, the military enlightener Alexander Kovalenko sees fundamental changes. Instead of saving forces, in connection with high losses, the Russian command chose a variant of dispersion and spending of the resource wherever they see the prospect of something to snatch. In the area of ​​Avdiivka, an interesting phenomenon has been observed in recent days, namely: in most directions of attacks, the ROVs are used mainly units from the 1 AK (the so -called "DNR").

In turn, the regulators, which are most in the Avdiivka area and are much more capable, are not often involved in hostilities. For example, exclusively carcasses of 114 OMSBR are used in the Vesely area. The same 114 OMSBR with the support of 1454 SMEs 1 AK kept assault actions in the direction of Kamianka-Avdiivka, Chestnut, mineral. The same brigade operates in the Coke.

Russian regulators are celebrated in the water area, it is the 55th and 74th OMSBR 41 ovas, but mainly on the slaughter there are carcasses of the 1st OMSBR 1 AK. Similarly, in the area of ​​Slavne-Novomikhailivka, the 39th OMSBR 68 AK, and Lugansk-Novomikhailivka 255 SMEs 20 MSD 8 ova. At the same time, the most capable 15th, 21st, 30th OMSBR 2 OVAs do not show much activity. Unless in the steppe area, the 30th OMSBR emerged-and then, without much scope on a wide leg.

Similarly, the 239th TP 90 TD sits below the grass, quieter water. Actually, what is it all about? There is a thorough regrouping and completion of units after crazy, suicide waves of the offensive. Moreover, the preparation is thorough, taking into account the known potential, collected in the last month near Avdiivka, and the fact that in the last weeks the infantry component 1 AK is used, with limited involvement of the mechanized component.

Accordingly, the third wave of the offensive, much more powerful than the previous two, can take place by the end of December, in the next week - two. This is quite logical, taking into account the known deadlines of the capture of Avdiivka, established by the Russian command, namely, the first - for the new year, the second - before holding the so -called elections of the so -called President of Russia.

In this regard, the excessive activation of the Russians throughout the east line of the front also pays attention to itself. The Limano-Kupyansk axis, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, of course, Marinka, as well as more than sure, increased activation of the flyers in the coledar area will soon begin. In a sense, all this activation does not have any global tactical, and even more so, strategic meaning, and that is so.

The meaning of this all bloody performance is the implementation of the plan "B", in case of the failure of the occupation of Avdiivka before the elections in Russia. The fact is that the command of the swarm in case of the failure of the occupation of Avdiivka before the election, that is, the extreme deadline, for which the heads can fly, decided to try luck in other directions as a spare option.

Or can Marinka be captured? What is not an alternative to Avdiivtsi? Or coal? Return to Klischivka or Andreevka. To capture Sinkivka and promise to the Russians to seize Kupyansk, and from there to Kharkiv to give their hand! That is, instead of saving forces, due to high losses in the Avdiivka area, the Rov command chose a variant of dispersing and spending the resource wherever they see the prospect of something to blow.

In general, it is the depletion of their resource, dispersion on a very wide front, without any certain results, but most importantly not even. The main thing is that they do not believe that they will succeed in the short term to occupy a small town, with several general military armies and more than 40,000 human resources. Glory to the nation! The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.