What the General Staff of the Russian Federation conceived: real goals and objectives of the "big offensive on Kharkiv"

The operation of the Russians in the Kharkiv direction did not set and could not set themselves the purpose of capturing Kharkiv, says military analyst Konstantin Mashovets. Based on real data, he reconstructs the design of the enemy . . . From the beginning of active (offensive) actions of the enemy in the Kharkiv operating direction, more than 2 weeks have passed, so we can already summarize some interim results. 1.

Before evaluating what we have now, let's try to realize - what was conceived and planned by the enemy in this direction. And then it will become clear - what happened and what - not. The enemy attracted the forces and means from the formed operational group of troops (OUV) "Sever" (formed from the forces of the Leningrad Military District \ Lvo ", as well as a certain set of troops from the so -called" The border cover group ", in fact, its tactical groups -" Bryansk "," Kursk "and" Belgorod ").

For this purpose, during the two stages, February-March and April-Restait, the enemy command carried out operational-strategic regrouping and southwestern. Its main elements, in the order of execution, were: in general, the enemy was moved within the specified limits with a total number of 30-35 thousand servicemen and at least 1. 5 thousand units of weapons and military equipment (OWT).

Not only the troops of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation were involved in the operation, but also its Federal Service of the National Guards (FSVNG "Rosgvardia") - to a regimental tactical group), as well as a set set ) to 4 departments of state border protection and at least 3 mobile departments.

As a result, the enemy managed to significantly increase the composition and combat capabilities of UV "Kursk" and Belgorod UV, which are part of OUU "Sever", respectively: it was obvious that the concentration of these forces and means is unlikely productive deep (in the sense of operational) operational operation in the direction of M. Kharkiv for the purpose of his environment (coverage), and even simply - for the promotion of Russian troops to the city boundary of the city.

Therefore, it was reasonable to predict that the enemy in this operation would put limited tactical, or operational-tactical, task zone . . . since his command could not help but be aware of the limited nature of his real opportunities in this direction. As it turned out, "the community of planners and depressions of" Russian command of the boundaries is almost not existed - it always seeks to put "the most larly inherent", even the most fantastic character . . .

In other words, between an adequate assessment of the situation and their own capabilities and "padded swords of" Russian "Russian swords The commanders lies a fairly deep abyss, well, let it be a large pit. In view of the events that happened in reality, so it happened . . . The command of the enemy apparently determined the direction of its main blow to the next directorate: Shebekino - Vovchansk - White Well - Greater Burluk.

In this direction, the enemy was concentrated from the composition of the 6th Army and the 44th Army Corps, solely for participation in offensive actions, at least: it was probably assumed to carry out offensive actions in auxiliary and false directions, respectively: in general in the stripes "Kursk" and "Belgorod" to participate in the operation were to involve, according to certain estimates: without taking into account the forces and means of Belgorod in "Belgorod", which performed the tasks of covering the border and shaking our troops in other directions and areas, and which are not involved in the offensive actions (up to 9 SMEs and 3 TB).

As far as I understand, the enemy's command planned the operation in several stages, namely in three main ones. The first stage: the second stage: the third (final) stage exit to the border-May Day-Great Burluk-Grigorivka-lodging parts and compounds from the composition of the 6th General, 44th AK and a certain set 47th TD (from the 1st).

Actually, this is the plan of the enemy, but without all these details and nuances, he painted briefly and concise enough in one of his recent statements, the commander -in -chief of the Armed Forces, General Syrsky - and was, in my opinion, absolutely right. That is, what you have read now - was planned and scheduled by the enemy in the Kharkiv operating direction.

Apply this to all three levels on all three levels, including the real and false purposes of this operation, and a general picture called "Bolsha Russian Tensions on Kharkov" will be almost complete . . . In other words, the true purpose of the Russian offensive "on Kharkov" was and In view of everything, it continues not to be Kharkiv himself, but the rear of our Kupyansky group. Or, to be clearer, the entire territory of the Kharkiv region is east of the Cascade of the Siverskyi Donets reservoirs . . .

From the moment of this performance of the enemy in Slobozhanshchina, more than two weeks (the first raid groups of the enemy, in particular with armored vehicles, attempted to cross the border on 10. 05. 2024). What managed to achieve the enemy in reality, that is, in practice - especially in relation to those goals and efforts of the enemy in this direction, you all see . . . However, obviously, his operation in the Kharkiv operating direction is still ongoing.