Vulnerability in Kherson and Luhansk can force the Russian Federation to withdraw troops from southern Ukraine - ISW
Military researchers refer to the statement of the spokesman of the OK "East" Sergey Cherevatya that Russian troops have recently overturned the landing regiment from Lymansky to the Bakhmut direction. This is stated in the ISW summary of July 1. On June 30, which was geolocated, they show that the 137th Guards Air Regiment (106th VAT Division) operates in the south of the settlement of Rozdolivka (which is 18 km north of Bakhmut).
According to one of the Russian sources, parts of the 98th VAT Division are now in the Bakhmut direction. Earlier, military researchers also noted the presence of other landing units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Lyman direction. Although new confirmations have not emerged recently.
Cherevaty reported that territorial defense has been replaced by Russian troops in the Lyman direction, so the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can transfer more elite units to the Bakhmut area. On June 4, a week before the start of the Ukrainian counter -offensive, the ISW said, the Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Anna Malyar reported that Russian troops partially moved their most capable units from the Kherson direction to Bakhmut and Zaporizhia.
According to the Speaker of the abdomen, Bakhmut for the Russian troops is still a media value than the military. If Russian reinforcements that have already been sent to Bakhmut will not be enough to keep the occupied territories in the area, then the command of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation may face a difficult dilemma: to risk the creation of serious vulnerability in Kherson or Luhansk regions or to start withdrawing troops from south.