Oligarchs and Wagner will end Putin. What does the prospect of dictator look like after Prigogine's death
The Kremlin is a mafia -style parliament that conducts gangster operations to fill Putin's pockets, its oligarchs and elites. But, as the Japanese found in Burma in 1944, if you start a war with terror, you are likely to be able to resist a well -managed, motivated and moral organization, such as the "forgotten army of" General "Bill" Slima. Putin may have actually signed a death sentence.
His fingerprints are likely not to be found on a launch button that launched a rocket on Prigogine, and may not have been on Polonius or a "newcomer" who killed some other opponents, but his DNA is in all these orders. And now there are two very influential groups that he should be afraid of - except for the International Criminal Court, which, of course, has so much evidence that if Putin once reached the Hague, he will never go from there.
First, Putin should be afraid of the oligarchs who have been staying in the cottages in Moscow for more than 18 months without being able to use their superhairs or villas in the Mediterranean. Since their leader is increasingly criticized all over the world because of this last murder, the oligarchs can conclude that their only chance to escape from Russia, which has now decreased greatly in economic and social terms, is to get rid of Putin.
Secondly, Wagner PEC, which may have lost its "cowboy" leader and his deputy, but remains a large group of heads and murderers. Prigogine was not a military commander, but Wagner group is the most successful military organization that Russia has been put into operation, despite the fact that it consists of paid mercenaries, many of whom were recruited from Russian prisons.
To control such a crowd, you need very rigid "lieutenants" who run everyone, and these people will now think about the future in Belarus and Africa. As it would be ironically if someone gave them money to go and arranged chaos in Russia. My experience with mercenaries shows that they are not too disseminated in the way whose money is taking.
It is unlikely that this coincidence was announced about the final release of "General Armageddon" by Sergei Surovikin the same day when Prigogine was removed. Putin has now got rid of his most effective warlords, and he remained stationery, such as Defense Minister Sergei Shoig and the Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov to manage the fights in Ukraine and the protection of Moscow.
These people may have chests with medals, but these medals for "needlework and cooking", not for fighting, like Surovikin and Prigogine. A poorly managed army is a burden that will most likely turn around and run, and that's what Putin has created now. I assume that in the coming few days, we are probably waiting for the flow of "compromise", which the deceased Yevgen Viktorovich collected on Putin and his detrimental regime, so that this information would be published in the event of his death.
This can mean further pressure on an increasingly besieged Kremlin. In the cold light of the day, when the Muscovites will again have to dive into their storage through the approach of Ukrainian drones and think that their young men return home in boxes, not with triumph, they will probably begin to understand that Putin's "special military operation" - Complete catastrophe. But I expect that the oligarchs and Wagner will finish Putin before he completely destroys the Russian state.