Russia is struck in response - and drives itself into a trap. What is the real situation under Liman and Kupyansk

Russian counterattacks near Liman and Kupyansk have made a lot of noise and are actively for sale in Russian propaganda. In fact, the Russians themselves are more harmful than good, the military analyst Alexander Kovalenko says. Kreminna - Lyman . . . Svatovo - Kupyansk . . . So, in the East, the activation of Russian invaders is noted.

But you need to know about this activation of some very important things to understand what is happening and what to expect without hypertrophizing the resulting off-in-infu scapula. First, in the Luhansk region today-one of the most capable groups of years, surprisingly, is the closest to the staffing of units. And there are reasons, because in the cerebellum of the ROV command at the end of 2022 the idea of ​​"blow" in the Kharkiv region was harvested.

According to the plans of the ROV command, by February 24, their grouping had to increase the potential for a very fast jerk from the R-66 line (Kremin-Swar-Trinity) to the left bank of Oscol with the capture of Lyman and Kupyansk. But something was then not planned and the "big" offensive was choking in the beginning. In fact, the reason that the "jerk" was interrupted was the forces of Ukraine's defense, which were ready to reflect this reflection.

In addition, the onset of the moles should be made from open positions, while all the defense of the SUU was built in closed positions. Secondly, the intensification of the SUU in Zaporizhzhya and Donetsk regions forced the command of the roar to make a quick and not quite rational decision. The intensification of hostilities along the entire P-66 simulates an epic offensive to divert attention to this area and delay the resource.

According to the plan of the Command of the ROV, the Sou, fearing the breakthrough to Liman and Kupyansk, they will delay some of the forces from the Zaporozhye and Donetsk region to strengthen their defense in the east, which will allow the occupiers to resist in the south. It is only unclear why it is to do the General Staff of the Armed Forces.

As I mentioned above, such a "jerk" was already broken, and all because it is ready for the forces of Ukraine's defense, so the resource needed for restraint/defense/offensive is formed and distributed. That is, the reflection of the swarm in the East is only for the sake of reflection. On the other hand, such reflection, in a sense, weakens the integrity of the defense of the moles at the bridgehead, and also forces to spend a shortage of resource.