"New Opportunities": Putin wins the war in Ukraine - The Economist
Russia is given a real chance of success, especially because of the weak response of the West to assistance, lack of strategic perspective and passivity. The Economist writes about it. The event, according to the publication, could make more using its industrial and financial resources to counteract Putin and to exceed Russian opportunities. "The reason why Putin's victory is possible is that the victory lies in endurance, not the seizure of the territory.
None of the armies are able to displace the other from the territory they are currently control On a day in the battles for Avdiivka, the city in the Donbass. It is a war of defenders, and it can last for many years, " - the article reads. According to the Economist, by 2024 Russia will be in a stronger position because it has a large number of drones and artillery shells.
In addition, the Russian army has developed effective tactics of radio electronic struggle against Ukrainian weapons, and Putin is calm of treacherous losses in his army. The publication indicates the supply of Russian drones from Iran and shells from North Korea, as well as strengthening the Russian military machine thanks to trade channels through Turkey and Kazakhstan.
West plans to limit Russian oil revenues, setting a price for $ 60 per barrel, were ineffective, since Russia sells oil at a price of 64 dollars per barrel, which is almost 10% higher than in early 2023, the material said in the material . The Economist estimates also indicate Putin's position within the country where the elite controls the economy and wins from hostilities, and ordinary citizens are gradually getting used to the war.
It is believed that the support of Ukraine by the Western governments has weakened, and there were doubts about its further support. The Economist warns that in 2025, Putin may have problems due to war, as Russians will begin to be indignant through forced mobilization, inflation and redistribution of funds for military needs.
However, to assume that his regime will soon fall, it is pointless, as it can be kept in power for many years and to use war as an excuse for the internal suppression and suffering of its people. The Economist advises that Europe's defense strategy should be aimed at preventing Putin's strengthening and demonstrating determination in supporting a democratic Ukraine -oriented Ukraine. "Europe should plan that Putin will be the main long -term threat to its safety. Russia will be re -armed.
It will have combat experience. The planning of Europe's defense should be aimed at not letting Putin feel weak on his flank - especially if he doubts the presidential Trump to fight in the event of an attack on NATO countries, "the article reads. The publication notes that European policies should increase their efforts to ensure Ukraine's progress, "promising money and entry into the EU. " "European leaders do not recognize the scale of the task - more than it seems to be evading him.
It is stupidity. They should listen to the words of Leon Trotsky: they may not be interested in the war, but the war is interested in them," the material said in the material Economist. We will remind that during a speech at a meeting of the discussion club "Valdai" in Sochi Vladimir Putin stated that in the "civilization sense" the Russian Federation has no borders.