The Russian Federation gets rid of "peacekeepers": why send the 201s Division from Tajikistan to Ukraine
To the west of Kreminna, in the area of Dibrova and Serebryansky forestry, detachments of the 201st Division of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation were observed, which was sent from Dushanbe, the capital of Tajikistan. Analysts of the Institute for War Study (ISW) state that the presence of these units in Ukraine once again proves Russia's desire to increase the scale of confrontation.
It is worth noting that it is located in Tajikistan 201-A military base-it is the largest military object of Russia abroad. In February 2016, the number of military contingent was about 6,000, almost all were contractors. The Russian units were located in the cities of Dushanbe and Bochtar, in 2012 the database time in Tajikistan continued until 2042.
One of the main tasks of the Russian military was the help of the Tajik regular army in the protection of borders during the war with the Taliban with the Islamic State (ID) group in neighboring Afghanistan. It was believed that in the event of a breakthrough of fighters in Tajikistan, the military of the Russian Federation would help the border guards repel attacks.
In addition to military goals, the Russian base was needed to support the regime of the Tajik leader of Emomala Rahmon, who constantly rules the country since November 1994, wrote "Nemetskaya Volna". Rahmon's periodic repressive initiatives and religious policy have often put the country on protest outbreaks. The military from Russia had to help him solve internal security problems. Data on the transfer of the Russian contingent from the database in Dushanbe are not voiced for the first time.
Last September, Radio Ozodi sources reported that up to 1,500 soldiers and officers were sent to Ukraine from there. "Perhaps this number has changed. As far as I know, the soldiers had to participate in a" special military operation "in Ukraine for no more than four months and return. But they have not yet returned. They say that they were sent on vacation," - said the interlocutor of the publication.
Ukrainian experts are convinced that the transfer to the front of occupiers from other bases testifies to Russia's failures for the capture of Ukraine and the mass loss of invaders during the storms of cities. "Given the presence of personnel military on the basis of Dushanbe, their involvement in Ukraine is a logical step. So it was with a contingent from Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation lacks resources in many directions, in particular during the onset of Avdiivka, in the Liman direction, in the Liman direction Especially when they weakened the Second General Army because of the losses in the 15th, 21st and 30th separate motorized rifles, the most capable units, "-says the coordinator of the group" Information Resistance ", military expert Alexander Kovalenko.
The Russian peacekeeping contingent in Karabas has been brought out and now there is no doubt where it will be sent. Ukraine took first place in the interests of Moscow, so Yerevan remained without support in confrontation with Baku, the analyst added. Many Wagner mercenaries are in Africa, but they will not be touched now, as the Russian Federation is important to maintain control in the region.
Moscow hopes to return the military presence in the CIS countries after the plans in Ukraine are fulfilled. But while they are only sacrificing in other regions, the specialist notes. Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, the goal of the Russian Federation to increase the army of the Russian Federation to 1. 5 million people will be fulfilled after the presidential election, and compensation for losses on the front is required today.
The data on the redeployment of Russian "peacekeepers" and military from other foreign bases has never been affected by the full -scale war in Ukraine. In the event of unsuccessful operations in Ukraine, the command of the Russian Federation will simply fail the next combat unit. The training of a qualified contractor takes a long time, because it is not the course of the young soldier in 3 months, says Focus Military Expert Dmitry Snegirev.
The transfer of the 201th Division from Tajikistan may be the result of Kremlin negotiations with the Taliban. There may have been agreements on the Talibana's "Talibana" lines that do not apply to Tajikistan. "Russia in exchange for Tajikistan helps the Taliban Taliban and the support of drug trafficking in EU countries," the analyst said.
The military from the 201th Division of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation participated in the fighting in Afghanistan on the side of Marshal Abdul Rashid Dustum, the former chief of staff of the Supreme Command of the Afghan army, Snegirev emphasized. Marshal fled from Afghanistan to Uzbekistan in August 2021 after "Taliban" took control of the city of Mazari-Sharif.