Putin's defeat and victory: how to regard "peace behind Trump" and what to do to Ukraine

The peace, which may bring to Ukraine Trump, will almost be guaranteed during his cadence, political expert Sergey Stukanov predicts. Further - the unknown, but both parties understand that the fundamental contradictions remain unresolved, therefore, the probable new conflict 1. From the good: 2. From the unpleasant but expected: 3.

What is obvious? In the above prerequisites, it is obvious that the fundamental dispute between Ukraine and Russia (Russia wants to destroy us, and we want to live) will not be resolved, so "peace" (if it is reached at all) will only be temporary. And this will be understood by almost everyone. The Kremlin will understand that we will not give up the occupied territories and wait for the historical opportunity to return them.

But just as we will understand that Putin will also not give up the idea of ​​destroying us and before the final departure from the political arena will try to bring us. And his successors will strive for the same. Unfortunately, it is not the fact that this will be understood by the United States and the West as a whole. 4. How much will such "peace" last? Most likely, while Trump is in the White House, it can continue: Putin respects him and may not be at risk of terminating the agreement.

It will also depend on safety guarantees, and unfortunately, this remains the least clear. What will the peacekeeping and peaceful contingents look quantitatively and qualitatively? How will they act in the event of an attack or provocation? More questions than answers. 5. If you summarize, we are definitely needed, but we need to understand that it will be only an intermediate sciatica. Something like "Minsk-3".