Three scenarios: British expert told how he sees the end of the war in Ukraine
The former Commander of the United British forces stressed that the final decision to choose the path will be made by the Ukrainian people. So, according to Berrons, the first possible option is Ukraine's refusal to continue the struggle. The general noted that such a decision may be due to doubts about the possibility of displacing Russian troops from the occupied territory or fear that it would require too much effort, blood and financial costs.
"In my opinion, it would be just a terrible solution, and I do not believe that Ukraine will go on it," he said. The second scenario, as described by Berrons, involves the immediate termination of hostilities. He noted that it was a temporary suspension of fire, not a full truce, and acknowledged that there was no military way to achieve a final victory on the battlefield.
"That is not a recognition of defeat or loss, but the adoption of status-quo and suspension of armed conflict," the general said. However, the former commander of the United Kingdom has noted that both parties can use a temporary ceasefire to restore their forces and carry out reorganization, and then the war will resume with more victims and destruction. In this case, all other people will continue to live in an uncertainty.
In the end, the third option involves a sequence of steps, the main of which is the removal of pressure from Ukraine associated with the harsh time frames. This means that it is not necessary to demand from Kiev to achieve quick results on the battlefield, threatening the termination of Western support. "The price of attempts to win when there is no strength - that Ukraine may lose what has gained, depleting its forces by trying to storm strong Russian defense," Berrons says.
According to his opinion, it is possible to choose the third path by getting rid of rigid terms, which is "stop and reflections". This means that the Armed Forces of Ukraine should maintain constant pressure on Russian troops on the forefront, continuing to slowly exhaust their resources even in the cold season, including the winter.
At the same time, it is important to build a military power of Ukraine with Western support for it to win a convincing victory on the battlefield next year or a year later. "Because if you increase the predominant capacity, to upset the prevailing force, the victory will be faster and the losses will be smaller," he added.
In addition, the former Commander of the United Britain has stressed that it is important to continue to "ignite doubts about Russia's determination and its ability to hostilities, attacking the Black Sea Fleet and influencing public opinion in Russia. " Recall that the General Staff of the Armed Forces confirmed that Ukrainian defenders have succeeded in the direction of Rabotyny. The forces of Ukraine's defense are enshrined on the de -corresponding boundaries.