Russia will simply not fall apart. So we need to prepare for a long confrontation
Honestly, I wonder the irresponsibility of the heralds and naivety of believers into a rapid inevitable disintegration. In fact, there are no signs of the future collapse of the Russian Federation now, well, if you do not take into account our fervent desires.
After the suppression of Chechnya, Russia is quite stable and monolithic, at least convincingly looking liberation movements is not observed, the active Anti -Putin underground is imperceptibly at all (I think it is not), the official opposition is weak and intimidated . . . And whether the opposition? Internal resources will allow the Russian Federation to meet their own needs. Yes, you will have to live without a western luxury, but most of the Russian population has never lived with it.
Gas, oil, eat, drink, work on MIC - it will be. USSR 2. 0. The pavement is tasteless, but there are many. But even the panel will not come. Of course, it will not be the way before the war, but we are completely tolerated. And the mechanisms of suppression of internal anxiety will remain unadorned - try, pretty! In the powder will be erased! For a revolutionary situation, as you remember, it is necessary that the top can not and the lower ones did not want. Riding can, the lower ones want.
I observe the moving unity of finished scum in power, etc. patriotic public in the general population. And there is no national color in this unity - exclusively ideological. What will, in fact, break up? On what basis? Under the influence of what strength? The collapse of the USSR, if you remove the husk, occurred on national borders.
What led him to collapse? Political uncertain component, national interests of political elites of the republics who sought separation, weakening of internal military force, capable of suppressing the centrifugal power, inability and weakness of the ruling top, degradation of propaganda, the crisis of the idea, economic disintegration.
Which of the above is there or expected in the Russian Federation? Where are the signs of change in society that can at least potentially lead to collapse? Hope to "Sbich Mucht"? I would not rely on such a course of events. We are dealing with strong, huge in area, resources and populations by the enemy. And it must be understood that this enemy will not go anywhere. Let's go out not of sweet hearts and mind, but from realities. They will be able to make bad weapons. But there will be a lot.
And she can kill. There are 140 million of them, which means they can put more than us. Wea with poor weapons, prepare and send us to kill us again. It is difficult to do quickly, but they have years ahead. They are rich. With all sanctions, restrictions, prohibitions they are still rich. In order to survive, they have everything. They also gather the fat. Hate will cultivate us, it is we who will be declared the cause of deterioration of living standards in the Russian Federation.
We are an insidious event. The confrontation, personally, I do not see the end. And instead of dreaming that they will all die and break together, I would be preparing for this confrontation, and would do everything possible to become stronger, to arm yourself better, to repel an inevitable new blow. No one in the sun will disappear, will not evaporate. Geopolitics is a thing in which there are no miracles. They will not move to the Arctic, do not understand or change.