Promotion of occupiers in the Kharkiv direction slows down: Overview of the situation (map)
Well, it is not surprising - if the Armed Forces began to actively "react" (in particular, by its own additional forces and means, which, as for me, the enemy really achieved), then he, sooner or later, still has to stop, let him temporarily. Even in order to simply pull up "fresh" forces and means. Honestly, I thought that the Russian command of strategic and operational levels would be smarter than it turned out.
"Burn", and clearly prematurely, in the border tactical "pull-Talkai" a considerable part of the prepared reserves of "Sever" (and not only) to seize the border town (Vovchansk), the idea-well, so. Although, I have to admit, from the "technical" (tactical) point of view, the realization (fulfillment) of this concept of the enemy has become quite effective (at this time, obviously, far not until the end).
But it is rather the effective part of the decisions (or rather, the delay in their adoption) of the former leadership of our "Kharkiv". In this sense, I would have been ready for a "sharp activation" of the enemy in the neighboring Kupyansk direction (quite possibly in Liman) in the near future.
For, from an operational point of view, the continuation of the enemy's offensive in the Vovchansk direction (along the Siverskyi Donets River) in the general directorate from north to south, for example, towards Old Salta and to the area of the village. Artemivka is obviously able to create our troops in the Kupyansk direction, say, "certain difficulties".
But this does not mean that it will create in reality, because in this sense, it is worth deciding whether, in fact, the opponent is capable of this in practice? As for me, at this point, the command of "Sever", and in particular its tactical group "Belgorod" simply do not have sufficient forces and means to carry out such a "breakthrough". Something does not observe the process of prompt deployment in their rear of appropriate forces and means capable of such "feats".
It is necessary to understand clearly, the displacement of the Armed Forces from several border villages, in the 10-kilometer lane it is one, and a breakthrough is 50 km into the depth of the operational construction of enemy troops, which is ready and fully awaits such actions-completely different.
Of course, our enemy takes some steps to increase our efforts in the battles in the Vovchansky direction (below we will see what exactly), but it is so far about the tactical zone, indicators in order to consider as a real opportunity to promote the enemy in an operational-tactical Depth, at this time - a little.
Directly in the Kharkiv direction (this is the direction on Lipka village and Vesele village), there are mainly forces and means of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division (IAS) of the 11th AK, in particular, units of its 79 and 280- NGO Motorized Rifle Regiments (SME) + Units of the 7th Separate Rifle Regiment (OMSP) of the 11th AK. The enemy, obviously, tries to break through two main directorates - to the village.
Lipka (acting, both in the Directorate of the Sagittarius - deep and along the Lipets River, from the village of Lukyanka). At the time of writing, I had no information that the enemy had completely taken. Deep (although it may be quite likely). The Lukyanka Directorate - Liptsi, apparently, the advanced units of the enemy are fighting in the area of the village. Lukyanians (most likely occupied by the enemy) and are unlikely to have significant progress towards the village. Lipka.
In the Vovchansk direction, the advanced units of the enemy simultaneously act as directly towards Vovchansk from the village. Pletenivka, as well as trying to bypass him, acting along the Siverskyi Donets River in the directions of Ogirtseve - Buguvatka and Gatyshche - Sinelnikovo, a clear goal - to cut the road of Starytsia - Vovchansk in the village. The stick.
There are probably several assault units from the identified forces and means of the 1st and 47th Tank Army (and), as well as the 138th Separate Rifle Brigade (OMSBR) of the 6th General Army (ZVA). At this time, the enemy was obviously unable to break into the road, but tried to break into the area of the so -called "Cretaceous Mountain" on the northern outskirts of the village. Buguvatka. As for Volchansk itself, information on events directly in the city is sufficiently controversial.
There are reports, allegedly, the enemy was able to enter the city (in the area of the meat processing plant), there is information the opposite - which was thrown into the forest, in the direction of the village. Gatyshche. I think during May 14, the situation will become more or less clear and prospects for further defense of Vovchansk will be determined more clearly.
Personally, I have no doubt that in the near future the command of Belgorod will try to increase its efforts in the Vovchansk direction (there is already information about the presence in the Russian border in the Vovchansk direction of certain reserves of the enemy, in particular from the composition of the 44th AK of the enemy).
In general, the volume of forces and means already introduced into the battle is estimated at about 5-6 motorized rifle battalions (IAS) reinforced by tank units (probably from the 11th TP of the 18th IAS and the 153rd TP of the 47th TP). In the near future (day), the enemy's command may increase its efforts in this direction by taking additional 2 SMEs (probably from the 30th and 41st SMEs of the 72nd SMA 44th AK, or 138- Ї OMSBR of the 6th General, which has only used 1 MSB).