Why on February 24 there was no massive missile fire and what is threatening Moldova
However, they did not use it, although given the existing variety of nomenclature could well provide the average coating with an attempt to break the air defense. Actually, it is illogical, because a crazy maniac, who denies himself on a sign on a sign date and with a hypertrophied fetish on dates, such an act is more concerned than the other way around. And it should be understood that rockets are not over and they are available.
Then what? It is no secret that the problems with the production of rockets, their removal from storage, and logistics force Russians to stretch the time between massive missile strokes every time. Currently, their cumulative potential is 2-5 missiles per day. This cumulative potential allows you to focus on the main ammunition in the amount of 30 to 70 rockets of different nomenclature in 2 weeks.
After shooting this ammunition, the next accumulation cycle is launched, which delay the possibilities of massive launches. It is too early to say why the 24th did not happen that it would be logical in the behavior of maniacs, but if in the coming days they do not cause rocket stroke, then they should be understood that they accumulate the potential higher than the average for . . . that's just why? In about 2 weeks, their shock capabilities can reach 100 to 150 rocket launchers.
Do they aim to draw such a blow to Ukraine or do they intend to stretch the blows for a certain period? Neither in the first nor the second case, this effect will have catastrophic consequences. It will not have catastrophic consequences for Ukraine, but for Moldova . . . The fact is that Moldova today does not have echelorated air defense air defense, which could effectively protect the country's airspace from the penetration of a hostile object.
But in order to penetrate the airspace of Moldova, for example, a landing aircraft with a brave Vedeve, it is necessary to cross the airspace of Ukraine in which this object will be successfully destroyed. That is, airborne landing is a clear suicide. However, providing support for offensive units from Transnistria by drawing constant missile strikes in Moldova is much more efficiently using such a missile resource in a small country with less recovery opportunities.
It may sound strange, but if today or in the coming days and even weeks in Ukraine there is no massive rocket stroke, it is necessary to worry not so much Ukrainians as Moldovans. Of course, this is only a version, but it is worth considering all possible maniac moves. In my opinion, Chisinau would not be superfluous in the next week to close its airspace and invite Kiev to cover its airspace of Ukrainian air defense at the most accessible radius of echelons. But this is only my humble look.