It becomes dangerous in the Black Sea: what the Russian Federation wants, declaring a zone of military exercises in Crimea
Such a decision, if it happens, brings with it significant risks and should be prepared for them now and joint efforts. The Kremlin responds very painfully to the victories of Ukraine in the Black Sea, which has already been seen in the imagination of some strategists in the internal Russian "Lake".
But the loss of a third of the fleet headed by the flagship "Moscow", the successful work of the grain corridor without the participation and permission of Russia, more doubts about Moscow's ability to protect the sky over Crimea, which was presented as "aircraft carrier" that Ukraine was turning. On the Black Sea "Your". And this is what "one's" means increasing security not only in the Black Sea region, but not only for Ukraine and its neighbors.
Because the action of the maritime corridor provided by the Armed Forces with the support of Ukraine's partners is a powerful security factor for many countries whose socio-economic stability depends on Ukrainian grain. This statement was recorded during the first Global Peace Summit, in a joint communique of which has a second point with a clear wording: "Food safety cannot be used as weapons. Ukrainian agricultural products should be safely and freely supplied with interested third countries.
" We now have a potential challenge on the part of the Russian aggressor who does not want to obey the united will of the peoples of the world. And, I remind, the joint communique has already signed 80 states, and this list continues to be replenished. An attempt to declare the Black Sea near Crimea will only mean one area of military exercises-Russia wants itself to give itself the right to attack any objects, including civilians, which are in international waters.
And everything that is injured will be declared as a "cierced consequence" of exercises, the probability of which - the consequences - "pre -warned". In addition, in future Russian provocations, and possibly criminal actions, there is another important aspect - an increase in the threat of direct clash of NATO and Russia. We already have an incident with a knocking down of the American reconnaissance drone. They have also been added a recent case with British and Russian aircraft near Crimea.
Thus, the western part of the Black Sea is again threatened with the transformation into a "Black Sea of Danger". The Black Sea announcement of the "military training area" will definitely return the threat to the merchant fleet and lead to escalation of the conflict. Official Moscow enjoys clapping weapons, but is unlikely to dare to direct and open NATO conflict.
However, "patriotic Z-resources" already swing the situation and directly write: "If the destruction of US reconnaissance drones and, if necessary, aircraft of electronic reconnaissance with crews can lead to war with the United States. " So, if you come out of the formula that was "first word", half of the dangerous path has already been traveled.
The Ukrainian Black Sea coast, maritime export routes require increased protection in connection with Russia's intentions to control international waters through "military exercises". Separately note that Taiwan, Saudi Arabia and other countries concerned about the marine threat can learn a lot in the Sea War in the Black Sea. And this is noted by Western analysts, so it is important to "not lose" the Black Sea.