Dictators fall quickly. Why Putin is the time to think after the collapse of Assad regime

Bashir Assad's example proves: dictators fall quickly, writes a serviceman and politician Igor Lutsenko. Their strength only seems endless, and if they resist them to the end, dictators can not withstand - and their entire design is destroyed . . . In the fall of Assad should first of all pay attention to speed. Here you have everything - the army, the police, prisons, in which you sit a hundred thousand of your enemies.

There are foreign allies whose weapons, and rather whose rage scares all, the strong and weak of the world. Your rivals do not have everything. They are some chaotic, unorganized, funny. They're accidentally together. Your rivals have little, there is almost nothing - weapons, the number of trained fighters and trained units, cohesive political structures. You know for sure that their allies, their foreign partners treat them as cannon.

You are lying that you oppose a powerful coalition, but you really know that the coalition is talentless and that many in it (in reality - almost everyone) is ready to sell you at the right moment. Your rivals have little, there is virtually nothing. In addition to the firm intention to fight, which has deep roots, long in many centuries. You seem to be able to take them with almost one blow. You have everything-divisions-regiments, punitive apparatus, bribed foreigners.

But at the right moment it turns out that the shell of your power is already empty inside. And in a few days your rivals - win, and you run the head. Unexpectedly for all. Analysts do not have time to analyze how your design falls loudly and rapidly. It turns out that the army is unable to fight, the police have evaporated, and no one protects prisons. It is necessary to just find the key in the box and open the way to a new life, a new order. *** We saw it all.

As Yanukovych fell, it was unexpectedly, on the night after he almost won, when his political opponents signed the surrender and pledged to retreat from the streets. From that time, I formulated the rule: if you keep the pressure, if you do not run disorderly, and keep your order, your opponent can turn away from my own strength.