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Trump vs Putin: What will bring Zelensky's trip to Washington on October 17

After success in Gaza, Trump decided to take seriously the Ukrainian case, writes political scientist Vladimir Fesenko. In principle, we can assume what they were talking about with Zelensky during the last telephone conversations and what will be discussed on Friday at their personal meeting in Washington . . . October 13, 2025 was the day of glory, the diplomatic triumph of President Donald Trump.

The political and legal confirmation of this was the signing of the ceiling in the Gaza Sector during a peaceful summit in Sharm el-Sheikh and the first steps of practical implementation of this agreement before signing it. Equally important for Trump was the visualization of his peacekeeping victory at the Peace Summit in Sharm el-Sheikh and Kneset (Parliament of Israel). Apparently, it was a worthy satisfaction for him for not receiving the Nobel Peace Prize.

Other is important to us - success in the Middle East inspires Trump to new peacekeeping feats. And the US president has already announced that he would seek the cessation of war between Russia and Ukraine. Actually, this work has already begun. Two telephone conversations between President Trump and Zelensky in two days in a row (October 11-12) say this. This event, incidentally, is unprecedented. Earlier, there was nothing like this in the history of relations between the US and Ukraine.

Trump clearly accelerates the pace of the new negotiation process-already in the Russian-Ukrainian war. Already at the signing of a peace agreement in Sharm el-Sheikh, it became known that on Friday, October 17, President Zelensky should come to Washington to meet with the US President. It seems that Trump and Zelensky agreed this during telephone conversations on October 11-12.

Interestingly, on October 10, Trump's favorite newspaper "The New York Post" has published an interview with the Ambassador of Ukraine to the United States Olga Stefanyshyn. The name of this gender is indicative - "the peaceful impetus of Trump marks the" huge shift "compared to the Baiden era. " Such publications are one way to reach Trump, to convey the Ukrainian position.

And, according to the events of recent weeks, the systematic work of Ukrainian diplomacy with the President of the United States and his administration gradually produces results. The current week can be called the week of Ukraine in the US. On October 13, our delegation was headed by the head of the government Yulia Sviridenko, Head of the Presidential Office of Ukraine Andriy Yermak and NSDC Secretary of Ukraine Rustem Umerov.

The main subject of negotiations of this delegation will be air defense, long -range weapons, interaction in the sphere of energy, which is now very relevant for us. Of course, preparatory work will also take place on the meeting of Trump and Zelensky Presidents, which will take place on October 17. Incidentally, it will be the sixth meeting of US and Ukraine leaders in the first nine months of Trump's second presidency, and for the third time in the White House.

It is also unprecedented in the history of American-Ukrainian relations. With very high probability, the meeting of Trump and Zelensky will be devoted to further prospects of negotiations on the completion of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Then what to expect from this meeting and from the further development of events in the triangle "USA - Ukraine - Russia"? The most obvious scenario is a new surge in negotiation activity.

Most likely, the United States will initially negotiate separately and in parallel with Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, in addition to Trump's meeting with Zelensky, the US President and Putin's contacts should also be expected. Trump has already announced this opportunity. It is likely that it will be a telephone conversation, but the Kremlin can also offer an eye meeting with US and Russian leaders. The idea of ​​the US, Ukraine and Russia presidents may arise again.

However, once again there will be a traditional and very difficult problem - and on what conditions to agree on the cessation of war between Russia and Ukraine? In the Kremlin, they publicly insist on the need to execute any "arrangements in Ankrigge". But no official agreements between the US and the Russian Federation were published either during Trump's meeting with Putin in Alaska or then. And the US is not confirmed. And Russia does not say anything specific about these "arrangements".

Equally important, Ukraine did not participate in Alaska negotiations, and without the consent of our country there can be no talk of any peaceful arrangements. It is not the first time that the Kremlin publishes for "agreement" its own "Khttlki". This is how the Russian leadership interpreted negotiations in Istanbul in 2022, now the same tactics are used in relation to the interpretation of negotiations on Alaska and a further vision of the negotiation process.

Based on the comments of US negotiation participants in Anchorge, as well as various "origins", it is about Russian proposals for the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from Donetsk and Luhansk regions, in exchange for which the Russian Federation promises to stop fire in Ukraine and start peace talks. Such insidious pseudocompromisis are categorically not suitable, as stated in public and in contact with US representatives.

Therefore, the scenario offered by the Kremlin will not lead to real peace talks. It should also be borne in mind that there are fundamental contradictions between Russia and Ukraine on key issues of peaceful settlement - from the issue of the legal status of occupied Ukrainian territories to security guarantees for Ukraine.

Considering the positive experience of the peace agreement in the Gaza Sector, it should be expected that the United States can offer its peaceful plan to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. In April, they were already trying to do it. At that time, it was a peaceful plan for Kelloga, and rather it looked like a probe of a possible compromise. The attempt, however, was unsuccessful. This plan was rejected by Russia.

Ukraine and European partners have expressed critical remarks about the individual points of this plan, especially categorical disagreement with the proposal of official recognition of the Russian status of Crimea. But if there is a peace plan for President Trump, then the attitude towards him will be completely different. To oppose this plan will be inconvenient for both the Kremlin and Ukraine. For the Russian Federation, this is due to the fact that Putin wants to maintain a talk with Trump.

And we cannot spoil the relationship with a strategic partner, which we largely depend on the purchase of weapons and obtaining satellite information, as well as in the negotiation process. However, on both the Russian side, there may be remarks about the individual points of this plan. It should also be understood that the US may be pressure on the adoption of the basic principles of this plan. And this pressure will be not only on Russia, but also on Ukraine.

Negotiations with US partners should pay attention to the positive experience of the peace agreement in the Gaza Sector, especially the priority of the ceasefire. As we know, the Kremlin does not want to agree to the primary ceasefire, but we need to convince Trump that for the peaceful settlement of the Russian-Ukrainian war we need to apply the same principle that successfully worked in the negotiations in the Gaza Sector.