"Where have you been during the war": what challenges are waiting for Ukraine after ceasefire at the front
But what will be life after the war? Reconstruction of the country, social adaptation, economic challenges and international cooperation - these issues will be facing every Ukrainian. But according to the Deputy Head of the Center for Recruitment of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces, Senior Lieutenant Igor Schweik, in peacetime it will be more difficult for those who were not in the Armed Forces. He stated that Ukrainians who would not serve in the army would meet with some inconveniences.
According to him, they will have problems with loans, protection of the dissertation. In addition, doctors cannot head the medical institutions unless they visited the Armed Forces. Schvaika believes that society will be militarized because there will be threats, although there will be a victory over enemies. Due to this militarization, some changes in public life are likely to be thought of now.
However, experts surveyed by focus believe that this kind of idea will be very difficult to bring to life, because such actions are contrary to both the Constitution of Ukraine and international acts on human rights. Moreover, if Ukraine seeks to become a member of the European Union, such initiatives are absolutely unacceptable. Experts are convinced that it will not be possible to put it into life, because such an idea will simply not vote. In addition, it would cause serious social resistance.
Therefore, such proposals have no chance of implementation. Moreover, Russian propaganda is already beginning to use these ideas, which also testifies a lot. Another thing is that such ideas confirm the presence of certain contradictions between those who are fighting and those who are in the rear. After the active phase of the war, it is likely that there will be a certain gap between those who were on the front and those who did not break there.
This phenomenon is known and was noticeable after the Second World War. Then the military often critically and sometimes aggressively treated those who stayed in the rear. Terms like the "rear rat" appeared. Similar moods can be manifested now, says political scientist Vladimir Fesenko. "However, the situation is a bit different. The consequences of war. In his opinion, a greater problem will arise with the adaptation of veterans and combatants to a peaceful life.
The reason for this is not employment, because now there is a shortage of labor resources in Ukraine, and with difficulty work is not expected. True difficulty will be to return to a normal peaceful life. Some families have not seen themselves for years, which is why divorces have already happened. Restoration of family life will be a difficult task. In addition, there is a problem of psychological stress that many people experienced during the war.
It may be difficult for someone to return to normal relationships with society, especially if they have changed their attitude to violence. Such problems can also be transferred to a peaceful life, the expert says. "These difficulties are characteristic of any war. For example, my colleagues said that Poles are already preparing for the possible arrival The war differs in its scale and intensity from everything that happened by 2014 or even by 2022.
The question of the model of life and development of Ukraine after the war will become one of the key topics of the upcoming elections, the political scientist emphasizes. Among the ideas discussed is the transformation of Ukraine into a "New Israel" with a powerful defense system. Particular attention will be paid to the development of territorial defense, which has already proven effective, even in the initial state in 2022. This area needs further expansion and improvement.
"The general military training initiative will be considered separate ", - says Fesenko. The economic model of development will be an even more complex challenge. Ukraine will have to preserve and modernize the military-industrial complex that is actively developing during the war. The priority will be the creation of modern weapons to contain a possible new Russian aggression. At the same time, it will be necessary to develop a civilian sphere that will require significant financial resources.
"The main question is where to find money? Currently, much of the budget is funded by international partners who support both the army and the purchase of weapons. After the war, the volume of such assistance can be significantly reduced. ", - the political scientist continues. The model of a militarized state is also being discussed, which can be supported by former military and some politicians.
However, this model will require considerable costs, and finding a balance between defense needs and restoring a peaceful life will be extremely difficult, the expert says. Preservation of a powerful army, even at 5% of GDP, will be a serious financial challenge. Balancing between militarization, economic recovery and social development will be one of the key tasks of post -war Ukraine, says political scientist.
"The post -war model of Ukraine's development will become a field for significant social and political contradictions. On the one hand, there will be a large part of society that will seek the preservation of the militaristic orientation of the economy so that the country remains ready for a new war. This group will support the idea of mass military training, focusing on the experience of countries With a high level of defensive readiness. ", - continues Fesenko.
In addition, large -scale social problems expect the country. Citizens now perceive high tariffs, taxes and a decrease in living standards as a consequence of war. However, after its completion, these factors will cause more dissatisfaction to power. No matter who will become president, the expectations of changes will be high, but the first results can cause disappointment and criticism. "Restoration of the country will be a difficult process that will require overcoming numerous challenges.
One of the key problems will be the adaptation of society to peaceful life and solving issues of social justice that will be exacerbated by contradictions between different groups. Developing, as well as building trust among citizens who seek stability, reforms and restoration of normal life, ”the expert says. Fesenko believes that what Igor Schweik said is an understanding of social justice in terms of the military.
Some of the society, especially the military, can assume that those who did not fight, have not fulfilled their duty to the country and have to bear certain restrictions on rights. Although this position is unlikely to find mass support, it will be a source of social tension. It is expected that between the populations who actively participated in the war remained in Ukraine and those who went abroad will be contradictions.
Some social groups can make claims in the style: "Where did you during the war?" What will create a split in society. Not all who have left will come back, but even those who return can face the difficulty of integration, the political scientist says. In his opinion, after the war, the choice of an economic model of development will be critical. However, it is not necessary to expect a quick recovery of living standards.
Breaks in the well -being of the population that existed before will appear even more acute. "Political environment is also changing. After the war, a political life is expected to be intensified, which is now visible through election activity. At the same time there will , but without the militarization of society, " - says Fesenko. After the war, people will strive to return to a normal life: travel, rest, enjoy peace.
This instinct for the recovery of normal life will be a powerful incentive for many. But at the same time, a revanchist sentiment may appear among individual groups, which can be a factor in political instability. "Thus, the post -war period will require society and power of a well -considered approach to solving economic, social and political issues.