Only in 2025: experts explained what Putin and Ukraine hope - The Hill
They also noted that the Russian Federation has its own problems, but it seems that President Vladimir Putin has a chance to win. The main thoughts about the Russian-Ukrainian war are outlined in the article on the portal of the publication. The article outlined the problems that Ukraine meets on the external front. In particular, the external has to convince the Western world that support needs to be continued.
Inside the country, the authors write, there is no noticeable advance during the summer-autumn counter-offensive at the slow pace of weapons, lack of preference in the air and powerful fortifications of the Russians, which they managed to build. Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin is convinced that he will wait for a "breaking of support" and won. He repeated this opinion again when he declared his participation in the presidential election in the spring of 2024, reminds the author of The Hill.
The Hill quoted the opinion of four experts who tried to predict how to act Ukraine and the West in 2024. 1. Researcher at the Center for Analysis of European Policy (CEPA) Federico Bossari noted that he did not believe in the victory of the Russian Federation. However, he acknowledged that the Armed Forces of Russia was able to withstand the pressure of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces, but the Russians are standing in place and do not receive strategic benefits.
"No strategic results have not yet been achieved. But at the same time [Russia], to some extent resisted the shock wave of failures that we have observed over the last two years. " Borsari also warned that the Russian Federation would use new, non -obvious attacks. In particular, "it can resort to thinner energies, strategies and tactics" to weaken Ukraine's support. 2.
Senior Researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Research, Kathleen Makinnis explained that in the new year Ukraine needs to change tactics. For example, you need to understand how fortifications can be passed, which have acquired the Russian Federation in the occupied territories. She also noted that the Armed Forces should receive even more artillery shells and demining devices. However, if you have all the necessary weapons, the situation will not be facilitated.
"It will be difficult to punch any Western army through the thick rows of such numerous army as Russian," the expert said. 3. Michael O'genlon looked at the Foreign Policy Director of Foreign Policy of the Brukings Institute - until 2025. According to him, the US should continue to support Ukraine in 2024. This should continue to be a "defensive weapon" that will allow the occupied territories, "without resorting to the Eternal War.
" However, in 2025, it will be necessary to go to an alternative plan B, O'genlon noted, without detailing what it is. "If at this stage the war still remains in a dead end, the United States should seriously consider the plan B," the expert's opinion was quoted. 4. Cepa Senior Researcher Stephen Horrell summed up: Putin deliberately delayed his time because he is confident in the event of the West to suffer losses because of war in Ukraine.
"Putin really feels that the time is on his side, which has a long war for his benefit. Because he always calculated that the event has no desire to suffer losses or to bear the costs that, in his opinion, Russia has," Chorrel summarized. It should be noted that in November, The Wall Street Journal published its forecast for 2024. The forecast is that Ukraine needs to focus on defense in the new year. Meanwhile, as Russia will have some advance on the front line, but insignificant.