Plus 300,000 occupiers: ISW explained if the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation surround Kharkiv

The military command of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation can send to the southern borders of its country the term agents and "inadvertent" reservists to replace more experienced military for the offensive, analysts of the Institute of War Study have told. The armed forces of the Russian Federation are not preparing for the offensive for the environment of Kharkiv. Analytics of the Institute of War Study in the daily report on March 22.

According to the Russian edition "Land", the Russian military command hopes that the increased increase in forces will allow the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to go on the offensive and surround Kharkiv. "Such an operation will create significant problems for both the Russian forces responsible for these efforts and for a broader Russian campaign in Ukraine," the message reads.

"Land" with reference to its own sources reported that Russian termmen and "inadvertent" reservists will go to the Southern border of the Russian Federation to perform auxiliary functions, or as border guards, in order to release more experienced soldiers for attack on Kharkiv. The Kremlin stated that the armies need an additional 300,000 people to start surrounding the environment of the Ukrainian city, and the Russian military hopes to occupy the city without turning it into a second Mariupol.

Analysts have noted that this operation would require "long open areas" that the occupiers have not been conducting from the beginning of a full -scale invasion. Currently, the enemy is conducting an offensive operation along the Kupyansk - Svatovo - Kreminna line to enter the Oskil River. The ISW noted that in the event of success of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, they would still be difficult to reach Kharkiv region.

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation allocated a small amount of forces to protect the borders of Russia, and they would not be enough for surgery from Kharkiv. Instead, the enemy could create a combat group for the city, but at the expense of units from other areas of the front, which the command of the Russian Federation determined.

We will remind, on March 20 the director of the information and consulting company Defense Express Sergey Zgurets stated that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation did not have capacity for the offensive in new areas. According to him, powerful fortifications were built on the border of Ukraine. On March 22, the adviser to the head of the Presidential Office Mikhail Podolyak said that 400-450 thousand soldiers of the Russian Federation could be in temporarily occupied territories.